Trading Charts: Live Forex Charts

10 Ways to Make Money Online in South Africa

There are a lot of opportunities online for anyone that wants to make a little extra money. From a part-time hustle to an all-out digital career, there are loads of ways that you can make money with an electronic device, and a connection to the internet.

  1. Paid Surveys - Did you know that thousands of South Africans earn extra income by simply participating in online surveys to help local companies improve their products? Finally, now you have an opportunity to do this as well! You can find a list of the top survey sites for South Africa HERE
  2. Selling Your Photos Online - Selling photos is a wonderful way to make money online if you have an aptitude for photography. Two popular platforms that you can try are Shutterlock and Unsplash. Every platform will have different requirements, but they will all pay you in hard cash. Though the photography market is quite hectic, it’s still a good method of gaining a passive income if you’re persistent and professional. Plus, the opportunity for additional sales is higher when your photos become popular. Many companies need photos of landscapes, and we all know that South Africa has some of the most amazing scenery in the world. In some cases, a smartphone is enough to get started, depending on the stock photo site you choose.
  3. Be a Freelance Content Writer - Freelance writing is a serious online business. The internet enters most areas of our life, and the need for blog articles and various types of content is exploding. There are many kinds of online writing work, and many people need things like product descriptions or simple reviews. Before going further in this direction, you first need to set up a blog or website. This will be an amazing portfolio where you can demonstrate to potential clients or businesses that you can deliver great work. A LinkedIn profile can be created to function as an online portfolio as well. Don’t forget that many writing clients will want to see specialized work, so be sure to consider what area you would like to specialize in. The pay for online writing varies, but with some practice, you should be able to make a decent part-time income.
  4. Sell Unwanted Goods - You can sell your unwanted stuff to people who want it and make your side business a real money maker. There’s plenty of options to use for sales such as Gumtree or Amazon. Don’t forget to do some research and see what assets have recently been sold so you have a target price. If you a business, you can sell other people’s goods as well. Many people don’t have the time or patience to sell goods online, and you can do it for them. If you charge a reasonable percentage of the sales, you can make a solid business out of selling used goods online.
  5. Build a Personal blog/website - Not only can you write for companies to gain income but you’re also able to run your own blog to raise money as well. Set your expectations at a reasonable level because this job requires consistent practice and lots of patience. Bloggers make a profit, often through press coverage, advertising products, and writing sponsored guest posts. You will need to run the blog for a while before you can expect to see any profits, but it is very simple to get started. Check out some of the other ideas on this list for ways to leverage a blog for greater income, like selling drop shipped items.
  6. Legitimate Remote Jobs can Pay Real Money - Many companies are heading to a work-from-home style of business since this type of model helps save money, and eliminates the risk of illnesses. People are completely flexible while working for a company and selecting where they decide to spend their time.CrowdSource, for example, hires remote writers, editors, and other jobs that can be done easily from anywhere. Companies like Fast Chart offer work-from-home options for medical transcriptionists. You can also try seeking opportunities at LiveOps, a call center staff. You might be surprised at how much time and money you save when you work at home. There is no transit, and you can cook for yourself. Think about it!
  7. Become a Dropshipper - Dropshipping is not a strange term, especially when eCommerce is booming. Anyone can be a drop shipper since the work requires low investment at the beginning and also guarantees minimal risk. The system operates by purchasing the stock (goods) from a third party supplier or manufacturer, who then fulfills the customer’s request. You don’t have to shop or handle goods in advance because the product comes directly from the vendors whenever an order is placed by a customer. There are many dropshipping platforms out there, and some are basically free to use. You will need to figure out how to market the goods, which is where a blog or website comes in very handy.
  8. Affiliate Marketing - Affiliate marketing is a popular method of making money online in South Africa and across the world. You can sell into a variety of markets with this business model, and make money almost anywhere. You can generate revenue from product sales. In other words, affiliate marketers will refer readers to a lot of products and get a small cut from them. Once a customereader buys products, you will earn a commission. A widely known approach is to start creating your own blog in a specific niche and to establish a trustworthy community that can purchase your promotions. Unlike dropshipping, you simply get a commission and have no other responsibilities. So easy! Check out SA’s leading affiliate network – https://www.affiliate.co.za/
  9. Online Business with Etsy - Try selling DIY designs and crafts on Etsy if you’re a skilled maker. An Etsy shop is basically free to operate, and you can make real money with the platform. Once your registration is complete, you can start posting photos of your works, and people can purchase your products. There is really no limit to what can be sold on Etsy, but make sure that you are able to send your goods to other countries, as many buyers are likely to be in the EU or North America. A PayPal account is important to have and also a popular payment choice so that customers can pay you quickly. Take nice pictures of the items to help draw purchasers into a sale. Make sure that you have good customer service as well, or you won’t be selling on the platform for very long!
  10. Forex Trading - You might have heard about trading FOREX or Contract For Difference (CFD) trading. The basics of this online money-making are simple. You will choose a currency pair, and bet on the direction of one currency vs. the other. For example, you could speculate that the EURO will appreciate vs. the RAND (or just about any currency). If you are correct, and then sell the contract, you will make profits. While this might sound easy, most people who do this lose money. In addition to currency, most retail FOREX brokers will allow you to trade in other markets, such as commodities, or shares. If you are looking for a reliable income, this probably isn’t right for you. On the other hand, if you don’t mind taking on risks, trading FOREX can be extremely profitable.
submitted by MrPassiveIncome to beermoneysouthafrican [link] [comments]

Binary Options Review; Best Binary Options Brokers

Binary Options Review; Best Binary Options Brokers

Binary Options Review; Best Binary Options Brokers
We have compared the best regulated binary options brokers and platforms in May 2020 and created this top list. Every binary options company here has been personally reviewed by us to help you find the best binary options platform for both beginners and experts. The broker comparison list below shows which binary trading sites came out on top based on different criteria.
You can put different trading signals into consideration such as using payout (maximum returns), minimum deposit, bonus offers, or if the operator is regulated or not. You can also read full reviews of each broker, helping you make the best choice. This review is to ensure traders don't lose money in their trading account.
How to Compare Brokers and Platforms
In order to trade binary options, you need to engage the services of a binary options broker that accepts clients from your country e.g. check US trade requirements if you are in the United States. Here at bitcoinbinaryoptionsreview.com, we have provided all the best comparison factors that will help you select which trading broker to open an account with. We have also looked at our most popular or frequently asked questions, and have noted that these are important factors when traders are comparing different brokers:
  1. What is the Minimum Deposit? (These range from $5 or $10 up to $250)
  2. Are they regulated or licensed, and with which regulator?
  3. Can I open a Demo Account?
  4. Is there a signals service, and is it free?
  5. Can I trade on my mobile phone and is there a mobile app?
  6. Is there a Bonus available for new trader accounts? What are the Terms and
  7. conditions?
  8. Who has the best binary trading platform? Do you need high detail charts with technical analysis indicators?
  9. Which broker has the best asset lists? Do they offer forex, cryptocurrency, commodities, indices, and stocks – and how many of each?
  10. Which broker has the largest range of expiry times (30 seconds, 60 seconds, end of the day, long term, etc?)
  11. How much is the minimum trade size or amount?
  12. What types of options are available? (Touch, Ladder, Boundary, Pairs, etc)
  13. Additional Tools – Like Early closure or Metatrader 4 (Mt4) plugin or integration
  14. Do they operate a Robot or offer automated trading software?
  15. What is Customer Service like? Do they offer telephone, email and live chat customer support – and in which countries? Do they list direct contact details?
  16. Who has the best payouts or maximum returns? Check the markets you will trade.
The Regulated Binary Brokers
Regulation and licensing is a key factor when judging the best broker. Unregulated brokers are not always scams, or untrustworthy, but it does mean a trader must do more ‘due diligence’ before trading with them. A regulated broker is the safest option.
Regulators - Leading regulatory bodies include:
  • CySec – The Cyprus Securities and Exchange Commission (Cyprus and the EU)
  • FCA – Financial Conduct Authority (UK)
  • CFTC – Commodity Futures Trading Commission (US)
  • FSB – Financial Services Board (South Africa)
  • ASIC – Australia Securities and Investment Commission
There are other regulators in addition to the above, and in some cases, brokers will be regulated by more than one organization. This is becoming more common in Europe where binary options are coming under increased scrutiny. Reputable, premier brands will have regulation of some sort.
Regulation is there to protect traders, to ensure their money is correctly held and to give them a path to take in the event of a dispute. It should therefore be an important consideration when choosing a trading partner.
Bonuses - Both sign up bonuses and demo accounts are used to attract new clients. Bonuses are often a deposit match, a one-off payment, or risk-free trade. Whatever the form of a bonus, there are terms and conditions that need to be read.
It is worth taking the time to understand those terms before signing up or clicking accept on a bonus offer. If the terms are not to your liking then the bonus loses any attraction and that broker may not be the best choice. Some bonus terms tie in your initial deposit too. It is worth reading T&Cs before agreeing to any bonus, and worth noting that many brokers will give you the option to ‘opt-out’ of taking a bonus.
Using a bonus effectively is harder than it sounds. If considering taking up one of these offers, think about whether, and how, it might affect your trading. One common issue is that turnover requirements within the terms, often cause traders to ‘over-trade’. If the bonus does not suit you, turn it down.
How to Find the Right Broker
But how do you find a good broker? Well, that’s where BitcoinBinaryOptionsReview.com comes in. We assess and evaluate binary options brokers so that traders know exactly what to expect when signing up with them. Our financial experts have more than 20 years of experience in the financial business and have reviewed dozens of brokers.
Being former traders ourselves, we know precisely what you need. That’s why we’ll do our best to provide our readers with the most accurate information. We are one of the leading websites in this area of expertise, with very detailed and thorough analyses of every broker we encounter. You will notice that each aspect of any broker’s offer has a separate article about it, which just goes to show you how seriously we approach each company. This website is your best source of information about binary options brokers and one of your best tools in determining which one of them you want as your link to the binary options market.
Why Use a Binary Options Trading Review?
So, why is all this relevant? As you may already know, it is difficult to fully control things that take place online. There are people who only pose as binary options brokers in order to scam you and disappear with your money. True, most of the brokers we encounter turn out to be legit, but why take unnecessary risks?
Just let us do our job and then check out the results before making any major decisions. All our investigations regarding brokers’ reliability can be seen if you click on our Scam Tab, so give it a go and see how we operate. More detailed scam reports than these are simply impossible to find. However, the most important part of this website can be found if you go to our Brokers Tab.
There you can find extensive analyses of numerous binary options brokers irrespective of your trading strategy. Each company is represented with an all-encompassing review and several other articles dealing with various aspects of their offer. A list containing the very best choices will appear on your screen as you enter our website whose intuitive design will allow you to access all the most important information in real-time.
We will explain minimum deposits, money withdrawals, bonuses, trading platforms, and many more topics down to the smallest detail. Rest assured, this amount of high-quality content dedicated exclusively to trading cannot be found anywhere else. Therefore, visiting us before making any important decisions regarding this type of trading is the best thing to do.
CONCLUSION: Stay ahead of the market, and recover from all kinds of binary options trading loss, including market losses in bitcoin, cryptocurrency, and forex markets too. Send your request via email to - [email protected]
submitted by Babyelijah to u/Babyelijah [link] [comments]

EUR/USD forecast: bulls won’t let the euro burst

EUUSD forecast: bulls won’t let the euro burst

Fundamental Euro forecast for today

Which bubble is bigger? The stock or the Forex market?

Market bubbles suggest rapidly rising prices, which attract the buyer hoping to earn quick money. Such buyers do not express due diligence or worry about the long-term prospects of what they buy. They ignore standard gauges as irrelevant, and the bubble goes bigger through cheap money. It looks familiar, doesn’t it? The rallies of the US stock indexes and the EUUSD more and more look like a bubble. The bulls, however, do not let it burst.
It took S&P500 just 126 trading days to go back to February highs and hit a new record high. It is the fastest stocks rally after the bear market, which, by the way, had lasted for 33 days, with an average value of 302 of the previous 22 downtrends since the 1920s. Besides, the P/E of the stocks included in the index is 22.6. It is the highest value since the dot-com crisis. But the standard gauges are ignored in bubbles, aren’t they? The market is far from reality. The US economic state is hardly the same as it was in February.
The S&P500 rally has, for a long time, supported the EUUSD bulls, but, now, they have different drivers. The stock indexes are growing amid the Fed’s support, which the euro is strengthening because of the GDP growth gap between the euro-area and the US. Remarkably, the volatility of the equity market and the Forex are now diverging. The US stocks are growing because of the cheap liquidity; the currency market is currently pricing the risks of the possibilities of the COVID-19 second wave in the euro area, the presidential election in the US, and the escalation of trade wars.


Source: Bloomberg
The EUUSD rally may also look like a bubble. The net longs on the euro held by the asset managers are the highest ever. The euro-area economy was hit by the pandemic stronger than the US, and the yields on the European securities is still low. After all, everything is relative. While Steven Mnuchin claims that the negotiations between the Democrats and the republicans are stalled, the EU governments are quick to implement mitigation measures. The spread between US and German real yields is as narrow as it was in 2014 last time. The appeal of the US securities is falling, and that of the euro-area assets is growing. Isn’t it a reason to buy the euro?

Dynamics of the spread between US and German real yields



Source: Bloomberg
According to Scotiabank, speculative dollar shorts are not excessive; they haven’t reached the level of 2017. The market has just started shorting on the greenback, so there is room to open more shorts. Société Générale notes, the US dollar’s rate, in real terms, is still 25% higher than the levels of 2011, and the Fed is still willing to depreciate the dollar. Is the EUUSD a bubble? I do not think so. My strategy is to hold the euro longs and add up on the price falls. While the price is above 1.183, bulls control the market.
For more information follow the link to the website of the LiteForex
https://www.liteforex.com/blog/analysts-opinions/eurusd-forecast-bulls-wont-let-euro-burst/?uid=285861726&cid=79634
submitted by Maxvelgus to Finance_analytics [link] [comments]

So you wanna trade Forex? - tips and tricks inside

Let me just sum some stuff up for you newbies out there. Ive been trading for years, last couple of years more seriously and i turned my strategies into algorithms and i am currently up to 18 algorithms thats trading for me 24/7. Ive learned alot, listened to hundreds of podcasts and read tons of books + research papers and heres some tips and tricks for any newbie out there.

  1. Strategy - How to... When people say "you need a trading strategy!!" Its because trading is very hard and emotional. You need to stick to your rules at all times. Dont panic and move your stop loss or target unless your rules tell you to. Now how do you make these rules? Well this is the part that takes alot of time. If your rules are very simple (for example: "Buy if Last candles low was the lowest low of the past 10 candles." Lets make this a rule. You can backtest it manually by looking at a chart and going back in time and check every candle. or you can code it using super simple software like prorealtime, MT4 ++ Alot of software is basicly "click and drag" and press a button and it gives you backtest from 10-20-30 years ago in 5 seconds. This is the absolute easiest way to backtest rules and systems. If your trading "pure price action" with your drawn lines and shit, the only way to truly backtest that kind of trading is going in a random forex pair to a random point in time, could be 1 year ago, 1 month ago, 5 years ago.. and then you just trade! Move chart 1 candle at a time, draw your lines and do some "actual trading" and look at your results after moving forward in the chart. If you do not test your strategy your just going in blind, which could be disaster.. Maybe someone told u "this is the correct way to trade" or "this strategy is 90% sure to win every trade!!!" If you think you can do trading without a strategy, then your most likely going to look back at an empty account and wonder why you moved that stop loss or why you didnt take profit etc.. and then your gonna give up. People on youtube, forums, interwebz are not going to give you/sell you a working strategy thats gonna make you rich. If they had a working strategy, they would not give it away/sell it to you.
  2. Money management - How to.... Gonna keep this one short. Risk a small % of your capital on each trade. Dont risk 10%, dont risk 20%. You are going to see loosing trades, your probably gonna see 5-10 loss in a row!! If your trading a 1000$ account and your risking 100$ on each trade (10%) and you loose 5 in a row, your down -50% and probably you cant even trade cus of margin req. Game over.. Now how does one get super rich, super fast, from risking 1-3% of your account on each trade?? Well heres the shocking message: YOU CANT GET RICH FAST FROM TRADING UNLESS YOUR WILLING TO GO ALL IN! You can of course go all in on each trade and if you get em all right, you might get 1000%, then you go all in 1 more time and loose it all... The whole point of trading is NOT going bust. Not loosing everything, cus if you loose it all its game over and no more trading for you.
  3. Find your own trading style.... Everyone is different. You can have an average holding period of 1 month or you could be looking at a 1 min chart and average holding time = 10 minutes. For some, less volatility helps them sleep at night. For others, more volatility gives them a rush and some people crave this. There is no "correct" timeframes, or holding periods, or how much to profit or how much to loose. We are all individuals with different taste in risk. Some dont like risk, others wanna go all in to get rich over night. The smart approach is somewhere in the middle. If you dont risk anything, your not gonna get anything. If you risk everything, your most likely going to loose everything. When people are talking about trading style, this is kinda what that means.
  4. There are mainly 2 ways to trade: Divergence and Convergence. Or in other words: Mean reversion or trend following. Lets talk about them both: Trend following is trying to find a trend and stay with the trend until its over. Mean reversion is the belief that price is too far away from the average XX of price, and sooner or later, price will have to return to its average/mean (hence the name: MEAN reversion). Trend following systems usually see a lower winrate (30-40% winrate with no money management is not uncommon to see when backtesting trend following systems.. You can add good money management to get the winrate % higher. Why is the % winrate so low? Well a market, whatever that market is, tend to get real choppy and nasty right after a huge trend. So your gonna see alot of choppy fake signals that might kill 5-6 trades in a row, until the next huge trend starts which is going to cover all the losses from the small losses before the trend took off. Then you gotta hold that trade until trade is done. How do you define "when trend starts and stops"? Well thats back to point 1, find a strategy. Try defining rules for an entry and exit and see how it goes when you backtest it. For mean reversion the win % is usually high, like 70-90% winrate, but the average winning trade is alot smaller than the average loosing trade. this happens because you are basicly trying to catch a falling knife, or catch a booming rocket. Usually when trading mean reversion, waiting for price to actually reverse can very often leave you with being "too late", so you kinda have to find "the bottom" or "the top" before it actually has bottomed/ topped out and reversed. How can you do this you ask? Well your never going to hit every top or every bottom, but you can find ways to find "the bottom-ish" or "the top-ish", thens ell as soon as price reverts back to the mean. Sometimes your gonna wish you held on to the trade for longer, but again, back to point 1: Backtest your rules and figure that shit out.

Read these 4 points and try to follow them and you are at least 4 steps closer to being a profitable trader. Some might disagree with me on some points but i think for the majority, people are going to agree that these 4 points are pretty much universal. Most traders have done or are doing these things every day, in every trade.
Here is some GREAT material to read: Kevin Davey has won trading championship multiple times and he has written multiple great books, from beginner to advanced level. Recommend these books 100%, for example: Building winning algorithmic trading systems" will give you alot to work with when it comes to all 4 of the above points. Market wizards, Reminiscences of a stock operator are 2 books that are a great read but wont give you much "trading knowledge" that you can directly use for your trading. Books on "The turtles" are great reading. Then you have podcasts and youtube. I would stay away from youtube as much as possible when it comes to "Heres how to use the rsi!!!" or "this strategy will make you rich!!". Most youtube videoes are made by people who wanna sell you a course or a book. Most of this is just pure bullshit. Youtube can very harmfull and i would honestly advice about going there for "strategy adivce" and such. Podcasts tho are amazing, i highly recommend: Better systems trader, Chat with traders, Top traders unplugged, We study billionairs, to name a few :)
Also, on a less funny note.. Please realize that you are, and i am, real fucking stupid and lazy compared to the actual pro's out there. This is why you should not go "all in" on some blind stupid strategy youve heard about. This is why this is indeed VERY FUCKING HARD and most, if not everyone has busted an account or two before realizing just this. Your dumb.. your not going to be super rich within 1 year.. You can not start with 500$ account and make millions! (some might have been able to do this, but know that for every winner, theres 999 loosers behind him that failed... Might work fine first 5 trades, then 1 fuckup tho and ur gone..
And lastly: Try using a backtesting software. Its often FREE!!! (on a demo account) and often so simple a baby could use it. If your trading lines and such there exists web broweser "games" and softwares that lets you go "1 and 1 candle ahead" in random forex pairs and that lets you trade as if its "real" as it goes.
A big backtesting trap however is backtesting "losely" by just drawing lines and looking at chart going "oh i would have taken this trade FOR SURE!! I would have made so much money!!" however this is not actually backtesting, its cherry picking and its biased beyond the grave, and its going to hurt you. Try going 1 candle at a time doing "real and live" trades and see how it goes.

Bonus point!!
many people misunderstands what indicators like the RSI is telling you. Indeed something is "overbought" or "oversold" but only compared to the last average of xx amounts of bars/candles.
It doesn't tell you that RIGHT NOW is a great time to sell or buy. It only tells you that the math formula that is RSI, gives you a number between 1-100, and when its above 70 its telling you that momentum is up compared to the last average 14 candles. This is not a complete buy/sell signal. Its more like a filter if anything. This is true for MOST indicators. They INDICATE stuff. Dont use them as pure buy/sell signals.. At least backtest that shit first! Your probably gonna be shocked at the shitty results if you "buy wehn rsi is undeer 30 and sell when RSI is above 70".

Editedit: Huge post already, why not copy paste my comment with an example showing the difference in trend following vs mean reversion:
The thing about trend following is that we never know when a trade starts and when it ends. So what often happens is that you have to buy every breakout going up, but not every breakout is a new trend. Lets do an example. Check out the photo i included here: https://imageshost.eu/image/image.RcC

THE PHOTO IS JUST AN EXAMPLE THAT SHOWS WHY A TYPICAL TREND FOLLOWING STRATEGY HAVE A "LOW" WINRATE.
THE PHOTO IS NOT SHOWING AN EXAMPLE OF MY STRATEGIES OR TRADING.

  1. We identify the big orange trend up.
  2. We see the big break down (marked with the vertical red line) this is telling us we are not going higher just yet. Our upwards trend is broken. However we might continue going up in a new trend, but when will that trend come?
  3. We can draw the blue trend very earyly using highs and lows, lines up and down. Then we begin to look for breakouts of the upper blue line. So every time price breaks upper blue line we have to buy (cus how else are we going to "catch the next trend going up?)
As you can see we get 5 false breakouts before the real breakout happens!
Now if you could tell fake breakouts from real breakouts, your gonna be rich hehe. For everyone else: Take every signal you can get, put a "tight" stop loss so in case its a fake signal you only loose a little bit. Then when breakout happens as you can clearly see in chart, your going to make back all the small losses.
So in this example we fail 5 times, but get 1 HUGE new trend going further up. This 1 huge trade, unless we fuck it up and take profits too early or shit like that, is going to win back all those small losses + more.
This is why trend following has a low winrate. You get 5 small loss and 1 big win.

Now lets flip this! Imagine if your trading Mean reversion on all the same red arrows! So every time price hits the blue line, we go short back to the bottom (or middle) again! You would have won 5 trades with small profits, but on that last one you would get stopped out so hard. Meaning 5 small wins, 1 big loss (as some have pointed out in comments, if you where trading mean reverting you would wanna buy the lows as well as short the tops - photo was suppose to show why trend following strategies have a lower % winrate.)

Final edit: sorry this looks like a wall of text on ur phones.
submitted by RipRepRop to Forex [link] [comments]

If you hodl or trade, you`re the biggest problem with the world of cryptocurrencies.

There`s 3 components to a market economy: Spending, Savings & Investments. We only have 2 and those are way off balance.
Spending: Payments. Drives Inclusion & Adoption. Represents the primary bridge to real world assets.
Saving: Store of Value, Essential driver for stability. The ideea that your holdings are safe over time and don`t depreciate.
Investments: Trading, drives value of the economy, corrects inflation.
State of the nation:
IF there`s any chance at adoption, don`t just HODL. Don`t just DayTrade. Spend what you have. Money needs to move.
The moment you start spending a portion of cryptocurrencies, that money moves. The entire supply chain benefits. Miners Mine, Exchangers Exchange, Businesses get paid, Taxes get taxed. The underlying value of your holdings grows as you tell more people how you paid your AliBaba supplier in Bitcoin and didn`t have any trouble with your EU based bank making a fuss over "why you`re sending money to Asia".
If the only thing you do with Crypto is to buy it, hold it or trade it, it has no impact on real life. It`s not inviting more people to use it. Demand doesn`t grow. the value chain remains closed and non-inclusive. And it`s against the basic principles of Blockchain. You, the person who only has 10 USD in Dogecoin or the Hodler who has 8 bitcoins since Satoshi was in diapers, you`re responsible for the value of your assets and growth of your community. If you don`t SPEND it, people around you have NO reason to adopt. And if they do adopt, they do it for the wrong reasons and simply add to the volatility.
Introduction:
I`ve been in this space since 2009, reading all I could get my hands on. Coming from a poorly banked background and still having frustrations due to the inability of making online purchases at the time, just coming out of a recession, Bitcoin`s vision struck a nerve with me. I`ve been an avid believer in blockchain ever since and at no point did I buy crypto to store value, hedge my bets, invest, digital gold or any of this. I went in because it was, and still is: the easiest way to send money across the world. Ethereum`s smart contracts bring this simple function to a new level, introducing conditions to be met for the transfer itself. Simple, open, transparent, inclusive. Period.
What we`ve become, as a community:
As a whole, this community went from a group of passionate people who wanted an alternative to banks, government and politics, people who wanted to deal directly with other people, to something weird I can`t describe as a whole, but more as personas. Here`s what I`m seeing:
  1. The "I wanna buy Pizza with Bitcoin" crowd. I`m one of them. We just wanted a simple alternative, we were okay with volatility because we always knew the more people use it, more stable it gets as an alternative currency. Conspiracy theorists, tech geeks, scientists, curious people fascinated by the endless possibilities of a global, open banking system, built by the people, for the people. Joined from the first 3-4 years of Bitcoin, many still join it.
  2. The Hodlers: Also coined as the true "Believers". They`re responsible for the initial traction, and would rather liquidate their house than to "sell off" their Bitcoins. They see Bitcoin and other currencies as a "store of value" and see not much difference between buying/storing Gold and Crypto. Joined after the first group and peacefully co-existed with everybody so far. Most dedicated miners came from this group/generation of adopters.
  3. The Traders: People coming from the finance world. They either did Hedgefunds, Forex, VC. Smart opportunists that saw the first 2 groups, saw the potential value of the system as something to be gained from (nothing wrong with this) and heavily capitalize on it. These were the first guys to look at crypto as financial instruments and started fighting the compliance game. This is also where market manipulation started.
  4. The "Tokenize the world" generation. Driven by technology on one side, by the ICO madness on the other side, this opportunistic group wanted to create a token (and respective ICOs) for everything they could think of. Huge similarities between how everything needed a website in the 2000`s, everything needed an app in 2010, everything needed a coin/token started around 2016. Dogecoin is the perfect example of a joke that got way out of proportion, while the original ideea was to make fun of this particular group. Oh well, this group still garners a lot of traction/interest. This group is why we have 3000 shitcoins and who knows how many that never saw the light of day.
  5. The Consultants, Gurus, Ninjas. The "know it all`s". They`re all about the TREND, not about the substance. In the 90`s we had the "internet consultants" who were selling strategies for people to get online. Later the same people were selling strategies to get website traffic. Later, it was about the apps or about the cloud. Right now, it`s about blockchain, token economics, go to market, liquidity, or investing. Some are super smart, most are useless. The only thing that really bothers me is that consultants take no ownership in the success or failure of what they`re selling. As long as you cover their fees, they don`t care if their advice works or not and usually blame you for failing. These are the "market makers" of today, the youtube/facebook/twitteinstagram investment gurus who look at charts for 4 hours and make predictions without really having any skin in the game. Here`s what I never got my head around, if you know how to make a market for a coin, or really know how to invest in crypto.... WHY would you charge me 20k when you can make millions for yourself in less time than that? I guess it holds true: those that can, DO, those that can`t, Teach.
This brings us to the state of the market today.
Proposed solution:
Don`t wait for your government to regulate, don`t wait for banks or institutional investors to kick in, don`t wait for the media frenzy. Just do your part: spend, save and invest your crypto just as you would your USD/Euro/Yen/etc. If you`re a freelancer, accept crypto payments. if you run a business, accept crypto payments. If you have crypto, make crypto payments. This is the main reason we have crypto today and it`s exactly what we don`t use it for. Go back to basics and let`s see how influenced by "market volatility" or "market manipulation" or "media bias" the price will get.
Disclosure: Yes, trying to solve the adoption issue has led me to build a platform for e-commerce that also solves crypto-to-fiat payments for more than 2000 tokens. We walk the walk, not talk the talk.
I`d love to hear if you guys agree or disagree, and most importantly, Why?
C:\>
P.S. I love you
submitted by chrisorasanusdk to Bitcoin [link] [comments]

If you just hodl or trade, you`re the biggest problem with the world of cryptocurrencies.

TL;DR: There`s 3 components to a market economy: Spending, Savings & Investments. We only have 2 and those are way off balance.
Spending: Payments. Drives Inclusion & Adoption. Represents the primary bridge to real world assets.
Saving: Store of Value, Essential driver for stability. The ideea that your holdings are safe over time and don`t depreciate.
Investments: Trading, drives value of the economy, corrects inflation.
State of the nation:
IF there`s any chance at adoption, don`t just HODL. Don`t just DayTrade. Spend what you have. Money needs to move.
The moment you start spending a portion of cryptocurrencies, that money moves. The entire supply chain benefits. Miners Mine, Exchangers Exchange, Businesses get paid, Taxes get taxed. The underlying value of your holdings grows as you tell more people how you paid your AliBaba supplier in Bitcoin and didn`t have any trouble with your EU based bank making a fuss over "why you`re sending money to Asia".
If the only thing you do with Crypto is to buy it, hold it or trade it, it has no impact on real life. It`s not inviting more people to use it. Demand doesn`t grow. the value chain remains closed and non-inclusive. And it`s against the basic principles of Blockchain. You, the person who only has 10 USD in Dogecoin or the Hodler who has 8 bitcoins since Satoshi was in diapers, you`re responsible for the value of your assets and growth of your community. If you don`t SPEND it, people around you have NO reason to adopt. And if they do adopt, they do it for the wrong reasons and simply add to the volatility.
Introduction:
I`ve been in this space since 2009, reading all I could get my hands on. Coming from a poorly banked background and still having frustrations due to the inability of making online purchases at the time, just coming out of a recession, Bitcoin`s vision struck a nerve with me. I`ve been an avid believer in blockchain ever since and at no point did I buy crypto to store value, hedge my bets, invest, digital gold or any of this. I went in because it was, and still is: the easiest way to send money across the world. Ethereum`s smart contracts bring this simple function to a new level, introducing conditions to be met for the transfer itself. Simple, open, transparent, inclusive. Period.
What we`ve become, as a community:
As a whole, this community went from a group of passionate people who wanted an alternative to banks, government and politics, people who wanted to deal directly with other people, to something weird I can`t describe as a whole, but more as personas. Here`s what I`m seeing:
  1. The "I wanna buy Pizza with Bitcoin" crowd. I`m one of them. We just wanted a simple alternative, we were okay with volatility because we always knew the more people use it, more stable it gets as an alternative currency. Conspiracy theorists, tech geeks, scientists, curious people fascinated by the endless possibilities of a global, open banking system, built by the people, for the people. Joined from the first 3-4 years of Bitcoin, many still join it.
  2. The Hodlers: Also coined as the true "Believers". They`re responsible for the initial traction, and would rather liquidate their house than to "sell off" their Bitcoins. They see Bitcoin and other currencies as a "store of value" and see not much difference between buying/storing Gold and Crypto. Joined after the first group and peacefully co-existed with everybody so far. Most dedicated miners came from this group/generation of adopters.
  3. The Traders: People coming from the finance world. They either did Hedgefunds, Forex, VC. Smart opportunists that saw the first 2 groups, saw the potential value of the system as something to be gained from (nothing wrong with this) and heavily capitalize on it. These were the first guys to look at crypto as financial instruments and started fighting the compliance game. This is also where market manipulation started.
  4. The "Tokenize the world" generation. Driven by technology on one side, by the ICO madness on the other side, this opportunistic group wanted to create a token (and respective ICOs) for everything they could think of. Huge similarities between how everything needed a website in the 2000`s, everything needed an app in 2010, everything needed a coin/token started around 2016. Dogecoin is the perfect example of a joke that got way out of proportion, while the original ideea was to make fun of this particular group. Oh well, this group still garners a lot of traction/interest. This group is why we have 3000 secondary coins and who knows how many that never saw the light of day.
  5. The Consultants, Gurus, Ninjas. The "know it all`s". They`re all about the TREND, not about the substance. In the 90`s we had the "internet consultants" who were selling strategies for people to get online. Later the same people were selling strategies to get website traffic. Later, it was about the apps or about the cloud. Right now, it`s about blockchain, token economics, go to market, liquidity, or investing. Some are super smart, most are useless. The only thing that really bothers me is that consultants take no ownership in the success or failure of what they`re selling. As long as you cover their fees, they don`t care if their advice works or not and usually blame you for failing. These are the "market makers" of today, the youtube/facebook/twitteinstagram investment gurus who look at charts for 4 hours and make predictions without really having any skin in the game. Here`s what I never got my head around, if you know how to make a market for a coin, or really know how to invest in crypto.... WHY would you charge me 20k when you can make millions for yourself in less time than that? I guess it holds true: those that can, DO, those that can`t, Teach.
This brings us to the state of the market today.
Proposed solution:
Don`t wait for your government to regulate, don`t wait for banks or institutional investors to kick in, don`t wait for the media frenzy. Just do your part: spend, save and invest your crypto just as you would your USD/Euro/Yen/etc. If you`re a freelancer, accept crypto payments. if you run a business, accept crypto payments. If you have crypto, make crypto payments. This is the main reason we have crypto today and it`s exactly what we don`t use it for. Go back to basics and let`s see how influenced by "market volatility" or "market manipulation" or "media bias" the price will get.
Disclosure: Yes, trying to solve the adoption issue has led me to build a platform for e-commerce that also solves crypto-to-fiat payments for more than 2000 tokens. We walk the walk, not talk the talk.
I`d love to hear if you guys agree or disagree, and most importantly, Why?
C:\>
P.S. I love you
submitted by chrisorasanusdk to ethtrader [link] [comments]

Elaborating on Datadash's 50k BTC Prediction: Why We Endorse the Call

As originally published via CoinLive
I am the Co-Founder at CoinLive. Prior to founding Coinlive.io, my area of expertise was inter-market analysis. I came across Datadash 50k BTC prediction this week, and I must take my hats off to what I believe is an excellent interpretation of the inter-connectivity of various markets.
At your own convenience, you can find a sample of Intermarket analysis I've written in the past before immersing myself into cryptos full-time.
Gold inter-market: 'Out of sync' with VIX, takes lead from USD/JPY
USD/JPY inter-market: Watch divergence US-Japan yield spread
EUUSD intermarket: US yields collapse amid supply environment
Inter-market analysis: Risk back in vogue, but for how long?
USD/JPY intermarket: Bulls need higher adj in 10-y US-JP spread
The purpose of this article is to dive deeper into the factors Datadash presents in his video and how they can help us draw certain conclusions about the potential flows of capital into crypto markets and the need that will exist for a BTC ETF.
Before I do so, as a brief explainer, let's touch on what exactly Intermarket analysis refers to:
Intermarket analysis is the global interconnectivity between equities, bonds, currencies, commodities, and any other asset class; Global markets are an ever-evolving discounting and constant valuation mechanism and by studying their interconnectivity, we are much better positioned to explain and elaborate on why certain moves occur, future directions and gain insights on potential misalignments that the market may not have picked up on yet or might be ignoring/manipulating.
While such interconnectivity has proven to be quite limiting when it comes to the value one can extract from analyzing traditional financial assets and the crypto market, Datadash has eloquently been able to build a hypothesis, which as an Intermarket analyst, I consider very valid, and that matches up my own views. Nicolas Merten constructs a scenario which leads him to believe that a Bitcoin ETF is coming. Let's explore this hypothesis.
I will attempt to summarize and provide further clarity on why the current events in traditional asset classes, as described by Datadash, will inevitably result in a Bitcoin ETF. Make no mistake, Datadash's call for Bitcoin at 50k by the end of 2018 will be well justified once a BTC ETF is approved. While the timing is the most challenging part t get right, the end result won't vary.
If one wishes to learn more about my personal views on why a BTC ETF is such a big deal, I encourage you to read my article from late March this year.
Don't Be Misled by Low Liquidity/Volume - Fundamentals Never Stronger
The first point Nicholas Merten makes is that despite depressed volume levels, the fundamentals are very sound. That, I must say, is a point I couldn't agree more. In fact, I recently wrote an article titled The Paradox: Bitcoin Keeps Selling as Intrinsic Value Set to Explode where I state "the latest developments in Bitcoin's technology makes it paradoxically an ever increasingly interesting investment proposition the cheaper it gets."
However, no article better defines where we stand in terms of fundamentals than the one I wrote back on May 15th titled Find Out Why Institutions Will Flood the Bitcoin Market, where I look at the ever-growing list of evidence that shows why a new type of investors, the institutional ones, looks set to enter the market in mass.
Nicholas believes that based on the supply of Bitcoin, the market capitalization can reach about $800b. He makes a case that with the fundamentals in bitcoin much stronger, it wouldn't be that hard to envision the market cap more than double from its most recent all-time high of more than $300b.
Interest Rates Set to Rise Further
First of all, one of the most immediate implications of higher rates is the increased difficulty to bear the costs by borrowers, which leads Nicholas to believe that banks the likes of Deutsche Bank will face a tough environment going forward. The CEO of the giant German lender has actually warned that second-quarter results would reflect a “revenue environment [that] remains challenging."
Nicholas refers to the historical chart of Eurodollar LIBOR rates as illustrated below to strengthen the case that interest rates are set to follow an upward trajectory in the years to come as Central Banks continue to normalize monetary policies after a decade since the global financial crisis. I'd say, that is a correct assumption, although one must take into account the Italian crisis to be aware that a delay in higher European rates is a real possibility now.
![](https://coinlive.io/ckeditor_assets/pictures/947/content_2018-05-30_1100.png)
Let's look at the following combinations: Fed Fund Rate Contract (green), German 2-year bond yields (black) and Italy's 10-year bond yield (blue) to help us clarify what's the outlook for interest rates both in Europe and the United States in the foreseeable future. The chart suggests that while the Federal Reserve remains on track to keep increasing interest rates at a gradual pace, there has been a sudden change in the outlook for European rates in the short-end of the curve.
While the European Central Bank is no longer endorsing proactive policies as part of its long-standing QE narrative, President Mario Draghi is still not ready to communicate an exit strategy to its unconventional stimulus program due to protectionism threats in the euro-area, with Italy the latest nightmare episode.
Until such major step is taken in the form of a formal QE conclusion, interest rates in the European Union will remain depressed; the latest drastic spike in Italy's benchmark bond yield to default levels is pre-emptive of lower rates for longer, an environment that on one hand may benefit the likes of Deutsche Bank on lower borrowing costs, but on the other hand, sets in motion a bigger headache as risk aversion is set to dominate financial markets, which leads to worse financial consequences such as loss of confidence and hence in equity valuations.
![](https://coinlive.io/ckeditor_assets/pictures/948/content_2018-05-30_1113.png)
Deutsche Bank - End of the Road?
Nicholas argues that as part of the re-restructuring process in Deutsche Bank, they will be facing a much more challenging environment as lending becomes more difficult on higher interest rates. At CoinLive, we still believe this to be a logical scenario to expect, even if a delay happens as the ECB tries to deal with the Italian political crisis which once again raises the question of whether or not Italy should be part of the EU. Reference to an article by Zerohedge is given, where it states:
"One day after the WSJ reported that the biggest German bank is set to "decimate" its workforce, firing 10,000 workers or one in ten, this morning Deutsche Bank confirmed plans to cut thousands of jobs as part of new CEO Christian Sewing's restructuring and cost-cutting effort. The German bank said its headcount would fall “well below” 90,000, from just over 97,000. But the biggest gut punch to employee morale is that the bank would reduce headcount in its equities sales and trading business by about 25%."
There is an undeniably ongoing phenomenon of a migration in job positions from traditional financial markets into blockchain, which as we have reported in the past, it appears to be a logical and rational step to be taken, especially in light of the new revenue streams the blockchain sector has to offer. Proof of that is the fact that Binance, a crypto exchange with around 200 employees and less than 1 year of operations has overcome Deutsche Bank, in total profits. What this communicates is that the opportunities to grow an institution’s revenue stream are formidable once they decide to integrate cryptocurrencies into their business models.
One can find an illustration of Deutsche Bank's free-fall in prices below:
![](https://coinlive.io/ckeditor_assets/pictures/946/content_2018-05-30_1052.png)
Nicholas takes notes of a chart in which one can clearly notice a worrying trend for Italian debt. "Just about every other major investor type has become a net seller (to the ECB) or a non-buyer of BTPs over the last couple of years. Said differently, for well over a year, the only marginal buyer of Italian bonds has been the ECB!", the team of Economists at Citi explained. One can find the article via ZeroHedge here.
![](https://coinlive.io/ckeditor_assets/pictures/953/content_2018-05-30_1451.png)
Equities & Housing to Suffer the Consequences
Nicholas notes that trillions of dollars need to exit these artificially-inflated equity markets. He even mentions a legendary investor such as George Soros, who has recently warned that the world could be on the brink of another devastating financial crisis, on lingering debt concerns in Europe and a strengthening US dollar, as a destabilizing factor for both the US's emerging- and developed-market rivals.
Ray Dalio, another legend in the investing world and Founder of Bridgewater Associates, the world’s largest hedge fund, "has ramped up its short positions in European equities in recent weeks, bringing their total value to an estimated $22 billion", MarketWatch reports.
Nicholas extracts a chart by John Del Vecchio at lmtr.com where it illustrates the ratio between stocks and commodities at the lowest in over 50 years.
As the author states:
"I like to look for extremes in the markets. Extremes often pinpoint areas where returns can be higher and risk lower than in other time periods. Take the relationship between commodities and stocks. The chart below shows that commodities haven not been cheaper than stocks in a generation. We often hear this time it is different” to justify what’s going on in the world. But, one thing that never changes is human nature. People push markets to extremes. Then they revert. "
![](https://coinlive.io/ckeditor_assets/pictures/954/content_2018-05-30_1459.png)
Bitcoin ETF the Holy Grail for a Cyclical Multi-Year Bull Run
It is precisely from this last chart above that leads Nicholas to believe we are on the verge of a resurgence in commodity prices. Not only that but amid the need of all this capital to exit stocks and to a certain extent risky bonds (Italian), a new commodity-based digital currency ETF based on Bitcoin will emerge in 2018.
The author of Datadash highlights the consideration to launching a Bitcoin ETF by the SEC. At CoinLive, our reporting of the subject can be found below:
"Back in April, it was reported that the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has put back on the table two Bitcoin ETF proposals, according to public documents. The agency is under formal proceedings to approve a rule change that would allow NYSE Arca to list two exchange-traded funds (ETFs) proposed by fund provider ProShares. The introduction of an ETF would make Bitcoin available to a much wider share of market participants, with the ability to directly buy the asset at the click of a button, essentially simplifying the current complexity that involves having to deal with all the cumbersome steps currently in place."
Nicholas refers to the support the Bitcoin ETF has been receiving by the Cboe president Chris Concannon, which is a major positive development. CoinLive reported on the story back in late March, noting that "a Bitcoin ETF will without a doubt open the floodgates to an enormous tsunami of fresh capital entering the space, which based on the latest hints by Concannon, the willingness to keep pushing for it remains unabated as the evolution of digital assets keeps its course."
It has been for quite some time CoinLive's conviction, now supported by no other than Nicholas Merten from Datadash, that over the next 6 months, markets will start factoring in the event of the year, that is, the approval of a Bitcoin ETF that will serve as a alternative vehicle to accommodate the massive flows of capital leaving some of the traditional asset classes. As Nicholas suggests, the SEC will have little choice but to provide alternative investments.
Bitcoin as a Hedge to Lower Portfolios' Volatility
Last but not least, crypto assets such as Bitcoin and the likes have an almost non-existent correlation to other traditional assets such as stocks, bonds, and commodities, which makes for a very attractive and broadly-applicable diversification strategy for the professional money as it reduces one’s portfolio volatility. The moment a Bitcoin ETF is confirmed, expect the non-correlation element of Bitcoin as a major driving force to attract further capital.
Anyone Can Be Wrong Datadash, But You Won't be Wrong Alone
Having analyzed the hypothesis by Nicholas Merten, at CoinLive we believe that the conclusion reached, that is, the creation of a Bitcoin ETF that will provide shelter to a tsunami of capital motivated by the diversification and store of value appeal of Bitcoin, is the next logical step. As per the timing of it, we also anticipate, as Nicholas notes, that it will most likely be subject to the price action in traditional assets. Should equities and credit markets hold steady, it may result in a potential delay, whereas disruption in the capital market may see the need for a BTC ETF accelerate. Either scenario, we will conclude with a quote we wrote back in March.
"It appears as though an ETF on Bitcoin is moving from a state of "If" to "When."
Datadash is certainly not alone on his 50k call. BitMEX CEO Arthur Hayes appears to think along the same line.
On behalf of the CoinLive Team, we want to thank Nicholas Merten at Datadash for such enlightening insights.
submitted by Ivo333 to BitcoinMarkets [link] [comments]

50% - 100% a Year Trading One Day a Week: Week 2 - Post Trade Analysis Plan.

50% - 100% a Year Trading One Day a Week: Week 2 - Post Trade Analysis Plan.
Part 1 Part 2 Part 3

This started out looking like it was going to be a successful setup for at the very least trade #1 today from the 61.8 on London open. There was a confluence of time, level and price action. It went up a bit, but failed to develop into an all day rally.

Two trades areas where posted, and over these two trade areas a net result of a slight profit was obtained.
Thing initially looked very promising. I took early positions near the low, and then once a move up started to establish I added more positions. Net risk on this position was kept low, never exceeding 0.4% and having the potential to gain 1.5% upwards. Price reversed back against these trades, and stopped them out for very small stop losses, and a 0.3% loss.
From that area price fell into the first established potential support level. This level is good for a trend continuation in perhaps early EU session spike outs, but so late in the day it's not likely a big move will develop (we were deep into the allowed final 4-6 hours).
When price gets back to where the first support is, it's very likely this becomes resistance. The trade is closed at the re-test of there, covering the loss of the first trade.
The price action we seen at this level was very consistent with what we'd be looking for at support (stall on support, and spike under). You can see on this chart, though, that once the trade we are taking has failed it also is showing signs of the up-trend failing. Lows are getting lowers, and highs are getting lower. The market only really gets back to about the 61.8 fib before falling more. All huge red flags for sellers, and to get out neat and tidy around that retest area is the best thing to do.

https://preview.redd.it/r9pfylemnoj31.png?width=808&format=png&auto=webp&s=22b7d601f771323a4469f5e83f2fb1de99595b7e

Overall PL
https://preview.redd.it/ci9or5o7poj31.png?width=815&format=png&auto=webp&s=07d7b314d15191e480d6c0c0403f475f35f1a9a9
I am glad we've had this example of a strategy failure early (my forecast is we see USDJPY move in a way that would make this buy a horrible trade to have held much longer). It highlights the difference between precise and perfect. I can demonstrate precision at times, but I know the strategy can not be perfect. They are not infallible. The exiting of a position at a loss well in this set up is extremely important.
Although this is a great trade, do not be over confident with it. Use it to profit when it's paying, and do not hang onto to losing trades when the London into NY sessions do not show the strong move we're trading. We can not trade what is not there.
Current Gain = 0.8%
Max risk exposure possible - 0.4%
Max real equity drawdown - 0.3%
submitted by whatthefx to u/whatthefx [link] [comments]

【翻译Quora上一篇问答】中国是否正在面临一次银行危机(谈到房地产) by phoebeDD on 2016-10-04

Is China really facing a banking crisis? What are its origins?
(中国是否正在面对一次银行危机?其根源又是什么?)



According to a recent article titled China facing full-blown banking crisis, world's top financial watchdog war
ns published in the Telegraph:
(根据近期电讯文章报道:“世界顶级金融观察者发出警告:中国正在面临全面的银行危机”)
China has failed to curb excesses in its credit system and faces mounting risks of a full-blown banking crisis
(中国已对债务违约失去控制,他们正在面对随之而来的全面性银行危机)
(中国债务/GDP 占比图)


Financial Crises

International Economics

The Economy

China

Answer
Request
Follow187
Comment1
Share
Downvote


9 Answers
以下为回答部分:





Robin Daverman, Dealmaker
Written Sep 27


Ah, but maybe you want to look around a bit and see how China’s total debt is compared with other economies, like this?
(你可能想看看其他经济体与中国的债务情况相比是怎么样的,如下图)

(G10债务分布图)
If you put China’s data on this chart, it will be somewhere around Canada and New Zealand. Guess Which Country Has Debt Of Nearly 1000% Of GDP... Shocking, isn’t it?
如果你将中国的数据插入上图进行比较的话,中国的数据大约会在加拿大和新西兰之间。猜猜看哪个国家债务大约是自己GDP的10倍....(英国)非常震惊吧
UK has almost 1000% Debt-to-GDP ratio, compared with China’s < 300% Debt-to-GDP ratio, mostly because of that over-sized financial debt - at the end of the day, the government must stand behind it. On top of that, the UK has no resource to sell, hardly any industry left, going through a divorce with EU, and almost never ever meets her fiscal targets. And yet, UK, with its near 1000% debt-to-GDP ratio, is still viewed as the gold standard among safe havens. PRESENTING: The Rosetta Stone Of The Entire Sovereign Debt Crisis Why? Because UK issues debt in her own currency. And who prints the pound? The UK government.
英国的债务/GDP占比将近1000%而中国只是小于300%,其原因是其过于庞大的金融债务——政府最终将不得不为之站台。在此之上,英国没用可出售的资源,没有任何本国工业,正在脱离欧盟,而且英国基本上从来没有达成其财务目标。即使如此,英国仍然被某些传媒视为安全经济体的黄金标准。其原因就是英债都以英镑的方式结算。那么是谁印英镑的呢?英国政府。
Then you take a look at Japan, wow that’s 600%+ debt-to-GDP ratio! But - Japan’s debt is not only mostly internal, in Japanese Yen, but also with 0% or even negative interest. You can roll this kind of debt over practically forever. That’s why people have been yelling about Japanese debt for the last 20 years, and nothing happens.
然后你看看日本,将近600%的债务/GDP占比!但是,日本的债务几乎都是内部的,以日元的形式出售的债务,而且日本是0利率甚至是负利率。实际上这种债务你可以无限积累下去(经济常识:如果是负利率,政府只要保持债务不变,多出来的部分会自行消失)。这就是为啥人们对日债担心了20年但屁事没有发生。
Then you take a look at those economies that have blown up on debt:
Argentina: Government/Sovereign debt in USD, with jurisdiction in New York!Greece: Government/Sovereign debt in Euro, with jurisdiction in Brussels!Iceland: External financial debt → nationalized into Government/Sovereign debt in USD and Euro alone was 700%+ GDP in 2008, with jurisdiction in New York and Brussels.
然后你看看那些因债务问题毁掉的经济体:
阿根廷:政府/主权债务以美元形式结算,其裁判权在纽约!希腊:政府/主权债务以欧元方式结算,其裁判权在布鲁塞尔!冰岛:外部金融债务→债务国有化后2008年政府/主权债务以美元和欧元的形式达到GDP的700%,其裁判权在纽约和布鲁塞尔
Then you look at China, with her debt almost entirely internal, in Chinese RMB to Chinese citizens, government debt at 55%, lower than the US, Japan, and EU average, in her own currency. China’s external debt is about 9% of GDP, globally ranked 184th (less than North Korea, similar to Kosovo) - anyway you look at it, it’s hardly the kind of material to make a banking crisis. China is borrowing a little bit from her own piggy bank. Argentina/Greece/Iceland were borrowing a lot from the Mafia.
然后你看看中国,中国的债务基本都是内部以人民币结算的。中国政府债务只占总债务的55%,比美国,日本和欧盟都要低,再次强调,其债务以人民币结算。中国外部债务只占GDP的9%,全球排行184位(比朝鲜低,比科索沃高)。无论怎么看,你都不会看到中国有任何银行危机的迹象。中国只是向其国内贪心的银行借钱。阿根廷/希腊/冰岛可是像美国欧盟这些黑手党借钱。
PS: The most significant increase in China’s debt is in the financial sector, driven by rising real estate price (which means higher value of housing loans). Right now, the Chinese government is basically using it as a tool to do macro-economic engineering. The goal is to cap urban growth in top tier cities (Beijing, Shanghai, etc.) and push the economic growth to second- and third- tier cities (Hangzhou, the city that just hosted G20, is an example.http://www.g20.org/English/Hangzhou/About/index.html Now you can look back and see why the Chinese government decided to host G20 in a city nobody has ever heard of). This is clearly stated by the Chinese government like 100 times since last year in the official news channels. The reason? Top tier Chinese cities like Shanghai (25 million) already have more city residents than the whole nation of Australia! The metropolitan area of Shanghai (44 million) has more people than the entire population of Canada! In one city! Beijing’s population grew by 8 million within the last decade! The place is simply full.List of cities in China by population and built-up area
PS: 中国最显著的债务增长是在其金融领域内不断升高的房价造成的(不断增高的房贷造成债务问题)。现在中国政府正在利用房价作为宏观经济调控的工具。其目的是限制一线城市的城市化进程和加速二三线城市的发展(刚刚举办了G20的杭州就是个例子,现在你就能知道为啥中国政府将G20放在一个没人听说过的城市举行了)。这些政策中国政府已经在官媒上宣布了无数次。原因就是一线城市,例如上海(2500万人口),其居民数量比阿根廷全国人口还要多!上海都市圈(4400万人口)的人口数量比加拿大全国还要多!北京人口数量在过去的10年内增长了800万!这些城市的人口数量已经饱和了。
In addition to real estate prices, the Chinese government is also doing stuff like restricting residents permits, disallowing second or third homes, even restricting jobs to local residents, everything to say “this place is full. We have these other nice choices, with lower housing prices. Go there.” Young people complaining about housing prices in tier-one cities? But that’s the whole point. The debt you have to take on to live in tier-one cities SHOULD SCARE YOU OFF. The Chinese government is trying to stop the influx of people pouring into tier-one cities, and get these smart and energetic youths to go build two, three, four, five. … more Shanghai’s in other parts of China. 1.4 billion people can’t all fit into tier-one cities.
除了以房地产为手段,中国政府也加强控制了居住证的发放,禁止第二/三套房买入甚至对本地居民的工作种类进行限制,这些都是为了表达一个意思:这些地方都人满为患了。二三线城市有更低的房价和更好的生活条件,快点去那里吧!年轻人都在抱怨一线城市的高房价?但这就是中国政府想要的。你在一线城市生存需要的代价会把你吓退。中国政府正在尝试控制一线城市的人口流入而让有技术和充满活力的年轻人去建设二三四五线城市——让更多的上海出现在国家的其他地方。14亿人口是没可能全部都聚集在一线城市的。
5.9k Views · View Upvotes
Upvote91Downvote
Comments4+

Share





Paul Denlinger, Involved in China economics study
Written Sep 27


There is too much debt, and a lot of it is likely to turn into bad debt, but that does not equal a banking crisis.
是因为中国贷款太多了,而这些贷款大多数会变成不良贷款,但这些都不等银行危机
Banking crisis may be a nice term to bandy around and get clicks and headlines, but does not really explain what is going on.
银行危机或许是一个十分吸引眼球的头条,但是根本就不能解释实际的情况
There was a lot of debt financing, especially after the 2008 subprime mortgage crisis in the US. In order to keep the economy on a steady keel, the Chinese government, through its banks, pumped money to Chinese state-owned enterprises, in order to keep high employment and maintain an image of “growth”. A lot of this money then found its way into the underground banking system through “wealth management products” and other means. A lot of this has turned into bad debt.
中国政府有过很多次债务融资,特别是08年美国次贷危机之后。为了稳住经济增长,中国政府通过银行将大量人民币注入到国企内以维持就业率和高增长的形象。但这些钱最终大都以理财产品和其他形式流进了地下钱庄。这些大部分都变成了不良贷款。
Another problem area, which frequently overlaps with the “wealth management products” is the local government financing vehicle used to fund local property development, which I have discussed here: Paul Denlinger's answer to Why does China have so many ghost towns?
另一个有问题的领域,和“理财产品”有莫大关联的,就是地方政府为当地基础建设所采用的金融工具(我在这个地方有详细的分析:https://www.quora.com/Why-does-China-have-so-many-ghost-towns/answePaul-Denlinger?srid=tR&share=22b99cfc
What is likely to happen in China is that growth will slow down in some areas, while there will be certain newer parts of the economy which will continue to grow. If the Chinese government is able to support the newer parts of the economy and help them to grow, while cutting back on loans to the weaker parts of the economy, it may be able to handle this transition better.
最可能发生的情况就是中国的经济增长将会放缓,但是肯定会用新的增站点。如果中国政府能支持新的增长点而且能减低夕阳工业的不良贷款率,那么或许能更好地度过过渡期。
This is exactly what the Chinese government is trying to do and you can read about it here:Here is how China is going to quietly save its economy
这些正是中国政府正在尝试去做的,你可以读读这个文章了解一下:http://www.scmp.com/news/china/economy/article/2022491/china-deploys-policy-banks-stealth-mission-stimulate-growth
So, if you are expecting there to be a dramatic run on the banks, and the Chinese people to take to the streets and overthrow the Chinese Communist Party, and become a full-blown democracy like Taiwan, Japan or South Korea, you are very likely to be disappointed.
所以,如果你是期待一次强烈的bank run(自行百度啥是bank run),然后中国人民上街推翻TG,中国大陆变成与台湾,日本韩国一样的政体,那么你要失望了。
4.3k Views · View Upvotes
Upvote62Downvote
Comments2+

Share





Nikhil Ambhorkar, Self studied Finance.
Written Sep 26


Is China facing a Banking crisis?
中国是在面临一个银行危机吗?
Yes.

Is it facing a full blown Banking crisis?
中国正在面临一个全面性的银行危机吗?
No.

Combined debt of China is almost 300% of its GDP. But the the categorized in 4 parts as it is shown in the image with the question too.
中国的总债务大概是GDP的300%。但是分在了如图所示的4个领域内。
The corporate debt has the lion's portion of the total debt. The household debt and non corporate debt are nothing to worry about because it is less many other developed countries and has some room to grow.
公司债务在总债务中占了大头。个人债务和非公司债务根本没啥可担心的因为这些比大多数发达国家还要低所以还有增长的空间。
Government Debt is not too big when compared to standards set by many global institutions like IMF, World Bank, etc.
政府债务以多数国际组织,例如世行和IMF,设定得标准来看其实不高。
The only major concern which is of a serious magnitude is the corporate debt. This is also reiterated by many economists.
最主要的关注点就是公司债务了。许多经济学家都重申了这点无数次了。
Now the problem with China is that data that comes out of major Chinese institutions is murky so their are many different types of estimates by many different institutions but the common theme in it is corporate debt and its size.
中国最大的问题就是中国国内组织公布的数据来源不清晰所以不同的国际组织对中国经济的实际情况估算会不一样。但所有组织最关心的都是中国的公司债务与其规模。
Corporate debt consists of debt owned by state owned corporations and private corporations. Private corporations in China are generally crowded out by the state owned corporations because of connections and political agenda.
公司债务又分成了国企和私企的债务。中国私企大多数收到国企排挤,这是有政体造成的。
Many state owned corporations have invested into unproductive projects as a result of excess boost given by government after 2008 to prop up the economy. This has resulted in a huge amount of NPAs. So, in all the major problem is state owned corporations piling up huge amount of debt. To solve this problem, the government tried to convert the debt into shares which the bank owns and can recover money through profit dividends but this was one of the causes for last year's stock market crash.
在08年过度的经济刺激政策下,很多国企在许多无效益项目上投了许多钱。这造成了大量的无效能资产。所以,最大的问题是国企堆积了大量债务。为了解决这个问题,政府正在尝试将国企的债务转化为股份,那么银行就能将债务转化为红利而最终将债务收回了。但这造成了上年的股灾.....
Hence, it is a big crisis but not the one government cannot handle with so much trade surplus and forex reserves. But actions are definitely needed to stop it from growing into a bigger problem.
所以,这是一个危机但仍然是政府能控制的,毕竟中国政府有大量贸易顺差和外汇储备。但是仍然需要实际行动来防止事态的扩展。
906 Views · View Upvotes
Upvote18Downvote
Comments1+

Share



submitted by robot301_01 to kfq [link] [comments]

Weekly Forex & Crypto Analysis by PrimeXBT

Weekly Forex & Crypto Analysis by PrimeXBT
The week has started and was led by the only title and header around all economic news which is “US-China trade wars”.
US-China trade wars in general had its effect on all markets, including cryptocurrency. The United States wants to tighten cryptocurrency use and claimed that it’s been used by smugglers and drug-dealers and pointed out that most of the transactions are made in China.
This week BTC tried to break $10500 on Monday, August 26th and was rejected, the price then was floating between $10400-10300 and continued the correction down to $10027. Uncertainty in the BTC has ended when the price hit $10400 again and showed a massive drop to $9366. We will point out several reasons of this week’s drop. The drop could be a result of an update in the US when rumors on crypto-currency taxation became real. Several notes sent by the IRS to crypto-currency holders pushed some investors to get rid of the BTC and led to a major sell.
The Wright and Kleiman case brings another reason to worry about. If Kleiman family surely inherited billions of $ worth of Bitcoin, then they should declare IRS the quantity and pay state taxes. Most probably, when these BTC’s received if they exist, the Kleiman family will sell them, which will result another drop-down of BTC.
CME Exchange’s futures contracts for Bitcoin is expiring today, though the Exchange showed a record-high $515M daily trading volume in May, futures expiry date gave extra-strength to sellers.
The price by the time published is traded at $9608 per BTC, from the technical point of view the price still has to find greater grounds for another massive jump.
https://preview.redd.it/8f0tliwapnj31.png?width=1468&format=png&auto=webp&s=64a5214d8a583bd7b7f3dcdd5f3de63290697050
Though we can see that a double-bottom pattern in 1-hour chart and most likely BTC will test $9750
https://preview.redd.it/vib20xqcpnj31.png?width=1468&format=png&auto=webp&s=06b1a9de59c8c76ecc447b5e2b0a8d506a79c12b
CME Exchange will continue to offer Bitcoin futures which is a positive sign for the cryptocurrency and announcement of the release of ICE-backed Bakkt Bitcoin futures in September 23 could be that pump to get the price above $10K.

Now let’s move to Forex market

The pair to watch this week and the next week is EURUSD.
Economy of Germany which EU's locomotive and other countries are cars, has showed a slight 0.1% decrease in the second quarter of 2019 related to the previous quarter. We can never deny the fact that the EU union with all its economy and power of its currency is completely dependent to the economic well-being of Germany. If the third quarter of this year doesn't show mercy to Germany's economy or Germany doesn't change policies to not only stabilize but improve the economy, the EU should prepare well for recession.
Not only economic state of Germany but rumors and news and overall hype over Brexit and Italy's economic crisis are considered to be a sinker of Euro against USD. For Euro to gain power and for EURUSD to show an uptrend again, firstly all rumors and preparations on recession should be reduced to nothing and EU states should do the needful to prevent the new economic crisis.
This week’s economic data from Germany was not positive, IFO Business Climate was below forecasted 95.1 and 94.3 was announced, German GDP was -0.1. These were news which weakened the European currency, although the worst scenario was yet to come. Thursday, August 29 Germany made an announced on the unemployment, and the number was four times higher than on the previous unemployment change, 4K. Since the announcement EURUSD was showing downwards movement and plummeted to 1.0990
If no signs of progress are shown next week, especially if the German Manufacturing PMI numbers don’t show positive, the price will continue downtrend to 1.0950 and find the next support at 1.0850
https://preview.redd.it/cso52ruepnj31.png?width=1468&format=png&auto=webp&s=21e4bdfed18b0bcce872b8714efa4d5d8fdc8b71
The political tension between EU and UK, US and China last week showed us more-or-less unpredictable movements in US, China, HK, EU, UK stock market indices. Since the “trade-war” begun and US applying higher tariffs on Chinese goods and China taking counter-action the only gainers of these back-to-back pokes were Gold and Silver. Gold showed one more time that it’s the most trusted asset to invest. The price hit $1555 highs this week and is now showing signs of short-term correction being traded at $1526. Major Investment institutions such as UBS and Citigroup look positive on Golds new summit ascents. Mainly UBS has stated that the next week the price could reach $1600.
From the technical point we can see that the price is trying to break the barrier at 1530, and is still unlucky.
https://preview.redd.it/huvtsyugpnj31.png?width=1468&format=png&auto=webp&s=9ccae0383301cabe7b0b479bde81b72cee5aa81c
This could mean that if the support at $1520 is broken, the correction will continue to $1515 and $1507.
If the downtrend is impulsive the price will reach $1494, where it will find support and another upwards move shall be expected.
https://preview.redd.it/oyzz33oipnj31.png?width=1468&format=png&auto=webp&s=1ae2f71cb0fece2770bcff716bd59d39e7a9245d
At the other hand, confirmation of Gold’s uptrend move will be breaking of resistance at $1530 where the price shall face a mile-stone of resistances at 1545-1563-1571.
From the Global prospective we should follow the upcoming Manufacturing PMI’s announcements of Germany and the US, US Non-Farm payrolls and Unemployment rates. Pay a very close attention to announcements of these three states Australia, UK and Canada, as well. Report prepared by analysts from PrimeXBT.
submitted by Esabellaason to PrimeXBT [link] [comments]

PAUL JOHNSON TELEGRAM Q&A 6 AUGUST 2018

PAUL JOHNSON TELEGRAM Q&A 6 AUGUST 2018
https://preview.redd.it/uis77n5jtlg11.jpg?width=696&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=55da8eb9e1eb652aecf92162343dc8c5e9b484d2
Good day everyone,
Here is the full Q&A that Paul Johnson did on Telegram on August 6. Apologies for the delay.
First off, on behalf of management, we appreciate everyones patience while we roll out the exchange. While crypto is very complex and has lent to some delays, and things not moving as fast as we or the community wants, we want to let everyone know we are doing everything we can to "spped" things up.
Q : Can I trasfer BTC directly, from Bitforex (yes, that scam, I just dumped a wreck train I held) to Tradeio? Because I have Mew, but Mew cant store Btc
A : We are actually adding to our dev team and adding experienced blockchain people that have worked on exchanges before, which are very far and few between. Additionally, we've added to the marketing team, and are revisiting the way we approach the social outlets like Twitter, to ensure its much more accomodating and interactive.
Q : when LP, when exchange full launch ?
A: As we said LP wouldn't happen less than a month after exchange launch. This was said to manage expectations. Realistically though, based on the volume currently on the exchange which is very little, it only makes sense to open the LP up once there is some substantial revenue coming through so LP participants aren't sharing pennies. We expect once the exchange is up and running fully, revenue to come. You combine that with the OTC revenue (deals are already being lined up), consulting revenue, etc. the overall LP revenue should then be decent. There are other "goodies" that are being finalized now to increase utility of TIO i..e adding to revenue for LP, that will also help out sooner rather than later.
Q: How much volume are we expecting so LP smoothly runs?
A: It's impossible to say, but assuming their figures are "real" you could probably benchmark us against similar exchanges on CMC and look at their volumes. One thing though that's important to mention is that we've already started work on margin trading and if you look at Bitmex, which flies under the radar, the margin component really enhances volumes for obvious reasons.
Q: What's the progress with the Fortune 500 company mentioned?
A: Yes, management is aware that JPM mentioned something like this during the Cyprus expo. For obvious reasons we really can't go into that too much, and in hindsight i think JPM would have kept that "closer to the vest." With that said, however, management are in talks with quite a few different companies, as our exposure is growing and companies appreciate the way we're approaching the exchange from a regulatory standpoint...i.e. not running from it, but rather running to it.
Q: What is real showstopper for slow rate or user additions to exchange. When can we expect to add all the 20k backlog users?
A: Yes, fully aware of that, and that's a major point that management has stressed to the devs, that this backlog needs to be cleared, as TIOnauts have waited long enough. The core components of the exchange have been working very well, with the exception of a few bugs, and we're happy with latency, the matching engine, and deposits/withdrawals.
Q:Any profit (however small), will be saved for the LP? 50% of it that is
A: Yes, consulting profits, profits from any JV's, etc. will be "saved" and accrued for release once LP starts.
Q:Hey Paul, do you have any information about when restricted countyes will have access? For ex any info about croatia?
A: TIOnauts to be clear the following countries (areas) are part of the OFAC list which will not be able to trade with trade.io. Please take note of the Balkan Islands:
Balkans (Serbia, Albania, Bosnia, Croatia, Macedonia, Kosovo)
Belarus
Burundi
Central African Republic
Crimea
Cuba
Democratic Republic of the Congo
Iran
Iraq
Lebanon
Libya
North Korea
Somalia
Sudan
Syria
Yemen
Zimbabwe
Q: When will we see improvements in your KYC process? I expected to see online forms, digital signature processes, video verification etc. .
A: As mentioned the other day, this week dev's will be removing the need to verify if you're withdrawing less than 2 BTC equivalent in a 24 hour period. Going forward, there will be no need to print and sign anything, it will all be done electronically. In terms of video verification, honestly speaking, I'm not sure how scalable that is given the sheer number of people that trade crypto. Could you point to any other exchanges with large volumes that conduct video verifications?
Q: I know that the exchange was properly stess tested. In that context do we know what is the max volume TIO exchange can handle at the moment?
A: Last figures I heard were given the infra as is now, high 6 figure orders per second, which is very robust and will tie us over for quite some time, if this is the benchmark right now.
Q: the team is saying everything i want to hear right now as far as im concerned this is an awsome project crypto industry is moving fast and we are all a part of it
A: Thank you, but saying is different than doing....its very important that we execute in a timely manner, otherwise its just "lip service." Management is modifying the way somethings are being done internally to insure that TIOnauts are getting a more timely delivery of all the great things that have been told to them.
Q: Withdrawal of less than 2 btc will be avaliable a limited amount of time or permanent?
A: Permanent.
Q: croatia is sepa country in EU, what is stopping you from supporting kyc from there?
A: We don't create the OFAC list, until Croatia is removed, our hands are tied.
Q: Bitpanda. If something's hard to do, that doesn't mean it's not worth doing - I'm sure you clever people can make it scalable. KYC is usually first point of contact with an exchange - The more fluid and easy the process is the better
A: Noted, and agreed, its not about being "hard" its about being scalable. Will 100% look into adding something like this, but need to check with regulators first to see if this is allowable.
Q: When mobile layout up as predefined template so everyone can use the exchange while waiting an app version ?
A: we're working on a completely sep layout for mobile as you mentioned. Explain what you mean regarding a predefined template for mobile? You mean a layout that's more friendly for mobile based on the exchange as is now?
Q: Gm Paul, tks for AMA. Questions:
1) Are revenues from Angel Investor program also going to LP? I guess it does but haven’t seen stated yet.
2) when we should expect matching engine to be more consistent and pick up on volume because right now it works sometimes and at really low volumes.
A: 1) Yes, Angel Investor is tied into the Consulting program.
2) What do you mean by "matching engine to be more consistent"?
Q: maybe much better if we have mobile apps to download
A: Correct, and that development has started.
Q: 1)Tks.
2) i see that bots are working right now, looking at trading history each trade is really low volume, only 0.00xx units and not everytime,
A: Yes, good observation, we have bots generating tiny trades for the sake of creating charts...otherwise, based on volume by "real" clients, the charts would look pretty bad. We're keeping the volume small, so when we turn over to CMC, we're now skewing volume with bots...much like BitForex got caught doing.
Bots are not 100% flawless unfortunately like actual trading, so unfortunately need to grin and bear this for the near term, until we can turn the bots off, and rely on real people trading which is that way it should work.
Q: What s the planned improvements on marketing and social presence you mentionned earlier ?
A: Once exchange is open to everyone, only then will API be available, as agreed, that's when the bigger traders will come knocking.
Q: Ok thx for explanation, i thought that was matching engine at work as sometimes it does hit on real orders, but mostly are in fact done at px between real orders.
A: No, many of those tiny orders are the bots, again, without them the charts would look like big blobs.
Q: While I sent in KYC I had the moon theme and the file names were almost unreadable.
In the other themes it was fine but the colour of the filenames needs to be adjusted for the moon theme
A: Yes, this was brought up in previous chats, we'll see to it this is fixed. We shouldn't expect you to upload docs if you can't see what needs to be uploaded
Q: It was after session timeout and relogin
A: They've been trying multiple things, glad to hear it may be fixed.
Q: 25k already seem pretty low !
A: Yes, in this space it is, but we want to get traction more importantly and start generating rev for the lp. Will def be increased, as we expect very heavy flow based on initial indications.
Q: 25 is the minimum though? So many will be higher
A: Yes, we're already working out high 6 figure deals already through our dealers relationships.
submitted by Scarlet_TIO to u/Scarlet_TIO [link] [comments]

Check out our most recent Q&A from Biggie Paul discussing the latest at trade.io

We conduct regular Q&A sessions on our official Telegram channel. Join us to ask questions and get the latest news and updates from trade.io.
Telegram: https://t.me/TradeToken
First off, on behalf of management we appreciate everyone's patience while we roll out the exchange. While crypto is very complex and has lent to some delays, and things not moving as fast as we, or the community wants, we want to let everyone know we are doing everything we can to "speed" things up.

Q : Can I transfer BTC directly, from Bitforex (yes, that scam, I just dumped a wreck train I held) to trade.io? Because I have Mew, but Mew cant store BTC.
A : We are actually adding to our dev team and adding experienced blockchain people that have worked on exchanges before, which are very far and few between. Additionally, we've added to the marketing team, and are revisiting the way we approach the social outlets like Twitter, to ensure its much more accommodating and interactive.

Q : When will the LP (liquidity pool) and exchange fully launch?
A: As we said LP wouldn't happen less than a month after exchange launch. This was said to manage expectations. Realistically though, based on the volume currently on the exchange which is very little, it only makes sense to open the LP up once there is some substantial revenue coming through so LP participants aren't sharing pennies. We expect once the exchange is up and running fully, revenue to come. You combine that with the OTC revenue (deals are already being lined up), consulting revenue, etc. the overall LP revenue should then be decent. There are other "goodies" that are being finalized now to increase utility of TIO i..e adding to revenue for LP, that will also help out sooner rather than later.

Sine the Q&A, the liquidity pool release date has be set to 9th October and the exchnage is open for all.

Q: How much volume are we expecting so that the LP runs smoothly?
A: It's impossible to say, but assuming their figures are "real" you could probably benchmark us against similar exchanges on CMC and look at their volumes. One thing though that's important to mention is that we've already started work on margin trading and if you look at Bitmex, which flies under the radar, the margin component really enhances volumes for obvious reasons.

Q: What's the progress with the Fortune 500 company mentioned?
A: Yes, management is aware that JPM mentioned something like this during the Cyprus expo. For obvious reasons we really can't go into that too much, and in hindsight I think JPM would have kept that "closer to the vest." With that said, however, management is in talks with quite a few different companies, as our exposure is growing and companies appreciate the way we're approaching the exchange from a regulatory standpoint...i.e. not running from it, but rather running to it.

Q: Any profit (however small), will be saved for the LP? 50% of it, that is
A: Yes, consulting profits, profits from any JV's, etc. will be "saved" and accrued for release once LP starts.

Q: Hey Paul, do you have any information about when restricted countries will have access? For example, any info about Croatia?
A: TIOnauts to be clear the following countries (areas) are part of the OFAC list which will not be able to trade with trade.io. Please take note of the Balkan Islands:

Balkans (Serbia, Albania, Bosnia, Croatia, Macedonia, including Kosovo)
Burundi
Central African Republic
Crimea
Cuba*
Democratic Republic of the Congo
Iran*
Iraq
Lebanon
Libya
North Korea*
Somalia
Sudan*
Syria*
Yemen
Zimbabwe

Q: When will we see improvements in your KYC process? I expected to see online forms, digital signature processes, video verification etc. .
A: As mentioned the other day, this week devs will be removing the need to verify if you're withdrawing less than 2 BTC equivalent in a 24 hour period. Going forward, there will be no need to print and sign anything, it will all be done electronically. In terms of video verification, honestly speaking, I'm not sure how scalable that is given the sheer number of people that trade crypto. Could you point to any other exchanges with large volumes that conduct video verification?

Q: I know that the exchange was properly stress tested. In that context do we know what is the max volume TIO exchange can handle at the moment?
A: Last figures I heard were given the infra as is now, high 6 figure orders per second, which is very robust and will tie us over for quite some time, if this is the benchmark right now.

Q: The team is saying everything I want to hear right now as far as I'm concerned! This is an awesome project, the crypto industry is moving fast and we are all a part of it.
A: Thank you, but saying is different than doing....its very important that we execute in a timely manner, otherwise it's just "lip service." Management is modifying the way somethings are being done internally to ensure that TIOnauts are getting a more timely delivery of all the great things that have been told to them.

Q: Withdrawal of less than 2 btc will be available for a limited amount of time or permanent?
A: Permanent.

Q: Croatia is separate country in EU, what is stopping you from supporting KYC from there?
A: We don't create the OFAC list, until Croatia is removed, our hands are tied.

Q: Bitpanda. If something's hard to do, that doesn't mean it's not worth doing - I'm sure you clever people can make it scalable. KYC is usually the first point of contact with an exchange - the more fluid and easy the process is, the better.
A: Noted, and agreed, it's not about being "hard" it's about being scalable. Will 100% look into adding something like this, but need to check with regulators first to see if this is allowable.

Q: When is the mobile layout up as a predefined template so everyone can use the exchange while waiting an app version?
A: We're working on a completely separate layout for mobile as you mentioned. Explain what you mean regarding a predefined template for mobile? You mean a layout that's more friendly for mobile based on the exchange as is now?

Q: Gm Paul, tks for AMA. Questions: 1) Are revenues from Angel Investor program also going to LP? I guess it does but haven’t seen stated yet.
2) When should we expect a matching engine to be more consistent and pick up on volume because right now it works sometimes and at really low volumes.
A: 1) Yes, Angel Investor is tied into the Consulting program.
2) What do you mean by "matching engine to be more consistent"?

Q: Maybe much better if we have mobile apps to download
A: Correct, and that development has started.

Q: 1)Tks.
2) I see that bots are working right now, looking at trading history each trade is really low volume, only 0.00xx units and not every time.
A: Yes, good observation, we have bots generating tiny trades for the sake of creating charts...otherwise, based on volume by "real" clients, the charts would look pretty bad. We're keeping the volume small, so when we turn over to CMC, we're now skewing volume with bots...much like BitForex got caught doing.
Bots are not 100% flawless unfortunately like actual trading, so unfortunately need to grin and bear this for the near term, until we can turn the bots off, and rely on real people trading which that way it should work.

Q: What's the planned improvements on marketing and social presence you mentioned earlier ?
A: Once exchange is open to everyone, only then will API be available, as agreed, that's when the bigger traders will come knocking.

Q: Ok thanks for the explanation, I thought that was matching engines at work as sometimes it does hit on real orders, but mostly are in fact done at px between real orders.
A: No, many of those tiny orders are the bots, again, without them the charts would look like big blobs.

Q: While I sent in KYC I had the moon theme and the file names were almost unreadable.
In the other themes it was fine but the colour of the filenames needs to be adjusted for the moon theme.
A: Yes, this was brought up in previous chats, we'll see to it this is fixed. We shouldn't expect you to upload docs if you can't see what needs to be uploaded.

Q: It was after session timeout and re-login..
A: They've been trying multiple things, glad to hear it may be fixed.

Q: 25k already seem pretty low!
A: Yes, in this space it is, but we want to get traction more importantly and start generating rev for the lp. Will def be increased, as we expect very heavy flow based on initial indications.

Q: 25 is the minimum though? So many will be higher...
A: Yes, we're already working out high 6 figure deals already through our dealers relationships.
submitted by tradeio to TradeIOICO [link] [comments]

A forex trader's day

Hey all,
I was just wondering how is the day of someone that lives of forex, where do you get your news, what news do you look for, when do you look for this news, when do you analyze your charts, how did you become a full time trader, what is your strategy (% risk, w/l ratio, sl/tp etc)
i can think of so many more, just elaborate on how your day goes
I'm a uni student so i usually go through news (forexfactory) in class, right after i look at naked charts(only trade eu/usd) and see if i can tell the trend for the different timelines and add a M.A. of 200 to help me, set up a trade if possible( 2% risk, -20:+60 pips), if important fundamentals i setup 2 way trade(short and long) 20 pips from current price with tight SL and once a direction is taken reinforce that trade by adding to the position. My end goal is to reach 25% a month and if i do, I stop trading for the month (never reach). I do not scalp currently as my confidence is not the greatest yet( had a major loss some years ago) but plan on scalping
Im really interested in knowing how the day of someone that lives of this is and how did it all start, is the stress real?
submitted by Nabilromeo to Forex [link] [comments]

Lessons from the world of currency trading

Ever since college I have been fascinated by this mysterious world of currencies trading (also known as FOREX). The great attraction for me was obviously the money, the huge potential for profit, but also the exclusiveness of being a trader. I always thought that trading attracts a certain breed of people, where only the best of the best succeed. And, as I always thought of myself as being one of the best, I set myself an objective of becoming a successful trader.
You might ask why I chose to trade currencies. To be honest, I was lured in by the very low entry barriers ( at that point in time, it took close to $500 to open an account; now you can open a live account for as little as $50) and the huge potential to the upside, thanks to leverage. Next I embarked on a paid forex course that opened my eyes to the possibilities that were out there. I opened my first demo account, read my first charts and plotted my first indicators. A new world was taking shape and I was getting more and more attracted to it. But the final argument that convinced me was the fact the forex was the biggest and the most liquid market in the world, with over $5 trillion in daily volumes and the opportunities were all around, to the buy side and to the sell side.
It didn’t take long for me to join the ranks of rookie traders who are so eager to earn some money trading that they go in the markets unprepared and leave with their pockets empty. I’ve spent a couple months playing on a simulator, trying to participate in free contests, but eventually my patience ran out. I blew out a few real-money accounts while in college. Luckily for me, I did not lose too much money, but hey, I was a student and everything I saved went into my trading passion. So needless to say, that was all I had. First lesson to be learned from here: don’t invest money you do not afford to lose. While I believe the money I lost to be a fair tuition for learning the ropes in currency trading, I still could have done a lot better just by practicing more on my demo account.
Nevertheless, I was perseverant in trying to make it in trading. I did not let myself down by the losses I incurred, but I embraced them and got more motivated. After all, if you really want something, then you should do everything in your power to achieve it. When I managed to save some money again to invest in trading, I set my goal to not lose money. I realized by then that another important lesson is to be in the markets at all times. The best way to gain an edge in the market is to be a part of it at all times.
No matter how much I struggled to get my balance up, it seemed that I could not lift my account off the ground (remember I used to fund my account with only a couple hundred dollars and use leverage to trade). I could not offset all the small losses and commissions with my winning trades. Pressure was building up and mistakes took place more often. It took me a couple of years to understand that undercapitalization can “kill” you in the markets. Leverage is an incredible weapon for those who know how to use it, but in the hands of a rookie it is a ticking bomb. Small accounts with high leverage blow up incredibly fast, as rookie mistakes are being exacerbated by the effects of the leverage. Always make sure to have enough risk capital in your account. As it turned out, all my efforts to make it in the financial trading world did actually pay off, even though not as I first imagined it would. I eventually landed a job with a prop trading firm. Here is where things got really interesting and I have exponentially boosted my knowledge. I cannot stress enough how important it is to be among peers that have the same passion as you do, who are professional and have the competitive mindset that will push you to outperform yourself. Of course not everybody is lucky enough (or maybe don’t even want to) to land a trading job, but if you really want to make it in trading you should spend more time on trading forums. Share ideas, compare performances, get your motivation up. Seeing others do it and being successful at it will push you higher than you could imagine.
It all started out as a college hobby and it transformed itself into a career. I just gave it my time, dedication and perseverance. For all of those thinking about starting their journey in trading I say do it with an open heart. It is the most rewarding activity you could ever do. It gives you the freedom you always dreamed of. At least that’s what it felt like for me.
If you’re ready to open your own trading account, make sure you take the shortcut and use the advice given in these lines. Stay motivated, well capitalized, always in the markets, gain your edge and enjoy the ride. You will also need a trusted broker to partner with. Forex broker has great offers for new accounts that could definitely help you start off on the right foot. Just remember the basics and you’ll be fine!
submitted by dwaynebuzzell to StockMarket [link] [comments]

ECB's Nouy says almost 50 banks considering post-Brexit relocation

This is the best tl;dr I could make, original reduced by 21%. (I'm a bot)
BRUSSELS - Nearly 50 banks have approached euro zone supervisors seeking information on how to relocate from Britain after it leaves the European Union, the European Central Bank's top bank supervisor told EU finance ministers on Monday, an official said.
Daniele Nouy told ministers meeting in Brussels that several large banks operating in the euro zone from Britain were progressing on their contingency plans and a few had already sought licenses in the euro zone, an EU official who attended the meeting said.
Disclaimer: Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate.
All CFDs and Forex prices are not provided by exchanges but rather by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual market price, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes.
Therefore Fusion Media doesn`t bear any responsibility for any trading losses you might incur as a result of using this data.
Fusion Media or anyone involved with Fusion Media will not accept any liability for loss or damage as a result of reliance on the information including data, quotes, charts and buy/sell signals contained within this website.
Summary Source | FAQ | Feedback | Top keywords: bank#1 price#2 Media#3 Fusion#4 data#5
Post found in /Economics.
NOTICE: This thread is for discussing the submission topic. Please do not discuss the concept of the autotldr bot here.
submitted by autotldr to autotldr [link] [comments]

Key levels to trade in the Fibonacci retracement tools

There are many forms traders in the financial market. Trading style and strategy tends to vary from traders to traders in the real market. However, most of the long-term traders have some tools common their trading style. Fibonacci retracement tools is a unique set of tools in the financial market which helps the traders to execute high-quality trades in the market in favor of the long-term prevailing trend in the market. Many novice traders in the financial market might have read about the Fibonacci retracement tools in the most popular forex guide but they might be wondering how to make a profit from this tools. It’s true that this is one of the most profitable tools which allows the traders to execute high-quality trades in the market but there some certain way to take the best advantage out this market. In this article, we will discuss how to trade like the professional traders by using the Fibonacci retracement tools.
Major retracement level: Most of the novice traders in the financial industry trades all the levels in the Fibonacci retracement tools. But if you look at the professional traders than you will most of them only trade three important levels in the market. Even there some popular forex guide in the market which tells that the 38.2%, 50%, and the 61.8 % is the most profitable and reliable retracement levels of this tools. Most of the professional traders in the financial market only trade this levels in the market. Though there are the most reliable retracement levels in the market but the other levels can also be traded with great level confidence but to do so you need to learn the art of price action trading strategy.
Key swings in the market: One of the most common mistakes that every new Fibonacci traders make is identifying the key swings in the market. The Fibonacci retracement level is drawn in the market by using the key swings in the market. So if you don’t know how to identify the key swings in the market then it will be extremely difficult for you to identify the key swings in the market. A key swing high in the market will allow having lowered high on both sides of the key swing high. Similarly a key swing low in the market will always have higher lows in both sides. So while you draw the Fibonacci retracement levels in the market make sure that you draw them in the correct swing levels in the market.
Price action confirmation signal: The best way to trade the important Fibonacci levels in the market is by using the price action confirmation signal. Price action trading strategy is based on the raw price movement in the market and the professional traders trade the key support and resistance level using the different candlestick confirmation signal. If you are relatively new in price action trading strategy then you should consider price action forex guide which will give you the basic concept of the financial industry.
One of the most major mistakes that every beginner price action traders make in trading is trading the smaller time frame. As a price action trader, you should always focus on the higher time frame. So when you draw the Fibonacci level in the market you should remember to use the daily chart or the 4 hour time frame to identify the key wings in the market. So when you will be trading the important Fibonacci levels in the market you will be basically trading the higher time frame support and resistance level.
Summary: Fibonacci retracement tools is a great of trading the financial instrument in the market. If you truly want to become a professional Fibonacci trader then you need to identify the key support and resistance level in the market. Make sure that you trade the 38.2 %, 50% and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement levels in the market since these are they key levels where the price continues its movement in the direction of the prevailing trend. If you can master the art of price action trading strategy then you can greatly enhance your trading performance by trading the key levels by using the highly reliable price action confirmation signals in the market.
submitted by dwaynebuzzell to tradingfx [link] [comments]

Top three features of the mt4 trading platform

Forex trading is getting very popular every single day compared to any other business. There are many different forex trading brokers which offer a high-quality trading environment to the traders to make a decent profit out of trading the financial instrument in the world. In order to trade the market profitable, you need to make sure that you know all the details of the financial market very precisely. Those who are trading the forex market for a long period of time have undergone many learning stages. If you truly want to become a profitable forex trader then you need to have strong determination, devotion, and dedication in the forex market. There are many different types of trading platform in the forex market. It’s very crucial that you have the right trading strategy and right trading platform while you trade the financial instrument in the forex market. There are many retail traders who fail to make money in online trading due to their lack of trading knowledge and improper trading platform. Among many different trading platforms in the forex market the meta trader trading platform is very popular in forex trading. In this article, we will discuss top three amazing features of the mt4 platform.    
User-friendly interface: There are many different types of a trading platform in the forex market. Due to many online reputed brokers traders have now the access to many different trading platforms in the world. There are some professional trading platforms which charge huge amount of money to the traders only to give access to the live trading environment to the traders. But when you consider the features of that paid platform with the Metatrader trading platform you will be surprised to see that the paid platform doesn’t have a very user-friendly interface. If you are professional forex trader then you will see all the navigation tabs and useful tools are very precisely organized in the mt4 platform for the traders. User-friendly interface is extremely necessary since as full-time professional trader you need your trading environment very organized. So being the user of the Metatrader you will have all your trading arsenal organized in the right section. You will never have to worry about tools neither you have to search them like many traders do in their professional trading platform. Most importantly the developers are continuously working hard to bring positive changes in their trading platform so that the users get the best experience out of it.    
Advanced charting: There are many different trading platforms in the trading world and different traders tend to use the different trading platform. As a professional trader, you need to know which trading platform suits you the best. If you are using the Metatrader trading platform then you will have access to the amazing charting software of this platform. Compared to other trading platforms the Metatrader developers have done a great job in developing their charting tools. Those who are trading the financial industry for a long period of time have undergone many difficult stages in the market and after trying many different trading strategies in the forex market they are now using the price action trading strategy. If you are price action trader then you need to have a very strong trading skills and very good charting software. The mt4 developers have developed a versatile charting package and the traders always get the best real feed from the market and the different candlesticks pattern formed in the charts are amazing. Most importantly candlestick reflects accurate data of the market and the traders gets highly reliable price action signal by using the Metatrader chart during the live trading session.   
Lightning fast: There are many different types of a trading platform in the forex market and as a professional trader, you will be always looking for the best trading platform in the market. There are many traders in the forex market who often spend more than 100 dollars for their paid trading platform in the forex market. But compared to the amount of money they pay the service is really horrible. It’s true that the paid trading platform has some high-class features but their loading time is extremely high. But in order to trade the market with the great level of accuracy you need to have a lighting fast trading platform in the market. The mt4 trading platform is a free trading platform offered to the traders all over the world and when it comes to the execution speed and loading time of its different features, it simply outruns the paid platform in the forex market. In the eyes of trained professional, the Metatrader platform is still one of the best trading platforms in the forex market which offers the traders the best trading environment. If you are relatively new in forex trading then you can use some different trading platform in the forex market then after one or two months you will find that the free Metatrader trading platform is one of the best software in today’s world.   
Summary: Trading the financial instrument can be extremely challenging especially if you don’t have the right trading environment. Those who are trading the forex market for a long period of time and making a consistent profit are using the mt4 trading platform simply for its reliability and ease of use. Most importantly the user interface is extremely simple and the traders can access to all the required tools and buttons within the shortest possible time compared to other trading platforms. To be precise this still considered to be one of the best free trading platforms in today’s trading world.
submitted by dwaynebuzzell to tradingfx [link] [comments]

fOREX lIVE TRADING REAL TIME CHARTS !! Earn Money From ... Real Time Financial Chart in JavaScript - YouTube Chart & Chill With Me(With Music) Real Time Forex Chart ... Forex and Stock Chart Real Time Intra Day Pattern Recognition Scanner binary options streaming real time forex charts - YouTube Real Time Forex Chart The 7 Best Forex Trading Tools - For Your Success! - YouTube

Advanced live charts for forex trading are free and easy-to-use at ForexLive. These real-time charting packages let you apply technical analysis to hundreds of FX pairs. LiveCharts.Co.Uk EURUSD Chart - Live Forex forex live chart and currency quotes. Calc Daily Charts News Pivots. About EURUSD Chart and Analysis. Two heavy weight trading partners, the European Union and United States. This is their forx rate of Euro to US Dollar. You can view our real time chart and use indicators to help you forecast your way through your trading. Learn more on Forex ... This section contains live exchange rates of global currencies, online charts, quotes, and descriptions of over 300 trading instruments. Moreover, here we have amassed information about the major, exotic, and cross currency pairs as well as futures on precious metals, shares, indices, energy commodities and other types of commodities. EUR-HUF real time Chart Forex Quote - Euro Hungarian Forint Live Ungarischer FX Charts - EURHUF Trading Kurs - Streaming Graph - Echtzeit Devisen Trader EUR/USD is deservedly considered one of the most popular combinations in the Forex market. It is used in real time by traders from around the world. At the same time, in their work, the EUR/USD chart occupies a central place. This tool will allow you to assess market dynamics, analyze the market situation, and make a weighted prediction, which would help open really lucrative positions. Please ... Free trading charts for forex, major commodities and indices. Our charts are fully interactive with a full suite of technical indicators. Home › LIVE Forex charts + Follow traders in real time! LIVE Forex charts + Follow traders in real time!  Ticker Tape by TradingView. Live Forex rates at a glance give you the price of one currency versus another. As the FX market is so liquid, this rate changes by the second and is affected by a number of variables. The Forex market, like most other markets, is based on supply and demand ...

[index] [9042] [9108] [21718] [12494] [28787] [28197] [2639] [18482] [19934] [1669]

fOREX lIVE TRADING REAL TIME CHARTS !! Earn Money From ...

How I Got 82% Gains In The Forex Market In Less Than 10 Months. Visit http://real-timeforexchart.com to find the answer... This program will scan end of day and real time Forex, Futures and Stock Market charts for trading patterns. This is a Pattern Recognition and trendline scanner, Scan for support and resistance ... 📈 FREE: The Complete Price Action Strategy Checklist - http://bit.ly/2o5NO0M In this Bangkok Forex trading vlog, I share the 7 best Forex trading tools I've ... Join Our free Whatsapp signal group :https://chat.whatsapp.com/C25c9WULuym1EUsciG4wmX Best Forex Broker . Minimum Deposit 5$ . ZERO spread Open account : htt... Want to start trading binary options but you're not sure which broker to choose or how to trade binary options? Visit http://www.BinaryOptionsTeacher.com tod... In this video, I am having a chat & Forex trading chill session with my trading group the swing trading society. No matter if you are in your bed, at Starbuc... Download the sample from https://mindfusion.eu/samples/javascript/chart/RealTimeStockChart.zip Run the sample from here: https://mindfusion.eu/samples/javasc...

http://binaryoptiontrade.snowsourclugfifoder.cf