Abstracted from my blog post. Read the Full Post at: http://alunacrypto.blogspot.nl/2014/03/how-to-bitcoin-altcoins-daytrading-fundamental-technical-analysis-profitable-trading-strategy.html. Follow me on Twitter for my latest Bitcoin/Altcoin trading advice @onemanatatime (https://twitter.com/onemanatatime). Fundamental Analysis
I believe that for an Altcoin to be worth anything at all, it MUST first have technical aspects which are built with the future in mind. This is what solely determines if a cryptocurrency has the potential for the mid to long term. Even with 5 new altcoins launching everyday, you barely see 1 a month that can last even the mid-term.
Then, after that I judge the coins based on 7 mediating factors; developers, community, branding/marketing, popularity/virality, novelty, infrastructure, and liquidity. For more about fundamental analysis and an explanation of these factors, read up on the first few sections in my previous post about picking and trading the next profitable altcoin. In this post, I will focus more on technical analysis and trading strategies instead.
With so many coins out there, I like to use these above factors to weed out all the weaker shitcoins, and focus on altcoins which are substantially different from others, and more importantly, provide more value than other cryptocurrencies. After which, I use Technical Analysis to judge entry/exit positions for trading them.
What else do you think makes a cryptocurrency fundamentally better than another, and more sustainable as a currency? Technical Analysis
Many will probably agree when I say that the Altcoins market is akin to the "penny stocks" of cryptocurrencies. In this sense, most altcoin markets have much lower liquidity, but have much higher volatility. Since there are over 200 different cryptocurrency markets to date, I prefer to narrow down my list of altcoins to a small handful, and buy under-valued coins or trade the breakouts. You're going to find it really tough to be watching more than 5 altcoins at the same time, so I highly suggest keeping your list small, and adapt your watchlist to the fast changing markets.
If you're new to technical analysis, here's a really good beginner's video on daytrading Penny Stocks, which also explains the basics of chart reading and an introduction to basic trading jargon that I'll be using throughout this post. The important concepts to take note of are resistances & supports, breakouts that coincide with high volume, and the general idea that "what goes up must come down". See video here: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HYK2a77TjvU
So after you get the basics sorted out, you should be ready to learn how to trade! I'm gonna break this intermediate technical analysis tutorial down into five main portions, and have compiled videos from other trading experts to give even beginners a better overall idea, and teach you all you need to know to devise your own Bitcoin & Altcoins trading strategy. 1. Top Down Analysis
Firstly, lets look at the top down analysis method of reading charts. I always begin by trying to understand the market from a bird eye's view. Compare both charts from a long term period (e.g. 1d) against one from a shorter period (e.g. 15m) to get a holistic view of the market. This will help give you a general perspective of market trends, while peaks & troughs give you an idea of market resistances & supports.
Use these basic resistance & support levels to judge entry/exit prices. In general, previous high and low points are new resistances or support depending on where the price is, and points where u can see big breakouts will be the new short term resistance/support. To get a better idea of what I mean, watch these videos by Jason Stapleton who explains top down analysis, resistances & supports, and structure. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=M9yCc7lD21Q https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tJmMU-8yicM 2. Retracements
The concept of retracements is, in my opinion, the most important one that any trading enthusiast must grasp in order to understand how the markets flow. In essence, a retracement is a temporary price movement against the established trend, and helps us understand that the markets move in wave patterns as highlighted by the Elliott Wave Theory. One way to look at it, as highlighted by this video below, is that most price-actions follow a pullback rule to fibonacci retracement levels (38%, 50%, 62%). http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7VSWqM0jfIQ
The most important concept to take away from this is "what goes up must come down"; that price movements in one direction are always followed by retracements in the opposite direction. Of course, not all movements will follow the same pullbacks, and these levels should only be used as a guide. Here's another video: "Understanding Fibonacci retracement lines: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KzHjxPxGzMw
So the question then is, how will we know if this counter-movement price action is a retracement or a reversal? There is no way to say for certain...
Read the full post on my blog at: http://alunacrypto.blogspot.nl/2014/03/how-to-bitcoin-altcoins-daytrading-fundamental-technical-analysis-profitable-trading-strategy.html. 3. Trading on Volume
Another important concept you need to understand is that large price movements almost always coincide with high trading volume.
With this in mind, this is where the liquidity of an altcoin also comes into play; the higher the trade volume of an altcoin, the lower the spreads, and the more likely you will be able to make some profitable trades from it. In general, the trade volume is a good indicator of, and is proportional to the popularity of the altcoin at the current time.
Apart from the actual trading volume itself, another good indicator is the change in volume over time; if you realize that the trading volume of an altcoin has been steadily increasing over the last few days, it could be an indication that a big price movement is coming up. 4. Breakout Patterns
The last concept I want to share is breakout patterns. Although most people are familiar with this concept, many do not know how to profit from them. This is one of the best tools to use for planning your entry positions, while there are various ways to do so, which are highlighted by these first two videos below: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6YZ4ORz-UJ0 http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3gN-6D8nH0E 5. Advanced Trading Strategies
Now comes the fun part: how can we take all that we've learnt so far and put into good use for trading Bitcoin/Altcoins? Here are some pointers for you:
- What we've learnt is more of a tool to make better entry and exit positions.
- Keep in mind trading the bitcoin & altcoin markets as you watch the rest of these more advanced videos, and I hope you'll be able to gain some insights to build up your Bitcoins & Altcoins trading strategy.
- Granted, forex & equities trading is much different from bitcoin or altcoin markets. However, the fundamentals are the same, and you should learn to draw lessons from the strategies talked about in the videos to supplement your bitcoin/altcoins trading strategy.
In the next videos, more advanced trading strategies and chart patterns will be shared. These strategies may seem very specific, but my goal is to give you better understanding of how these analysis tools are used, and to give you an idea of how different tools can be used to develop a single trading setup. The specifics are not important; what I hope to achieve is to open up your minds to new ideas, expand your trading knowledge, and ultimately encourage you to explore a diverse variety of trading strategies.
Read up more on some of the main ideas discussed:
- Fibonacci Analysis
- Fibonacci Extensions vs Retracements
- Elliott Wave Theory
- Harmonic moves/pattern
- Cryptocurrency Portfolio
- My Trading strategy
- More trading Tips
Read the full post on my blog at: http://alunacrypto.blogspot.nl/2014/03/how-to-bitcoin-altcoins-daytrading-fundamental-technical-analysis-profitable-trading-strategy.html. If you'd like to discuss any ideas or have burning questions, feel free to email me at alvinlee133(at)gmail.com or hit me up on twitter @onemanatatime.
P.S. If you're new here, make sure to check out my previous posts about Bitcoin & Altcoins daytrading: http://alunacrypto.blogspot.nl/2014/02/how-to-pick-trade-next-profitable-altcoin-bitcoin-daytrading.html http://alunacrypto.blogspot.nl/2014/01/beginners-guide-margin-trading-bitfinex-exchange.html http://alunacrypto.blogspot.nl/2014/01/embarking-on-my-bitcoin-trading-journey.html
P.P.S. If this post helped you, feel free to buy me a cup of coffee!
Cryptsy Trade Key: 9c1e289981a685bf0b8a4e48bc00b35eb1380afa
Fibonacci Retracements sind ein beliebtes Trading Tool der Charttechniker. In bestimmten Phasen können Trader damit bestimmte Kursbewegungen prognostizieren. Hier lernst du Schritt für Schritt, wie es geht. Fibonacci Retracements stammen aus der Mathematik des 14.Jahrhunderts. Die Fibonacci-Sequenz ist eine der bekanntesten Formeln in der Mathematik. Jede Zahl in der Sequenz ist die Summe ... Fibonacci Retracement Levels Before we dive into Fibonacci Retracement Levels specifically for Forex trading, it would only be pertinent that we get a good idea of the concept as a whole. In essence, Fibonacci retracement refers to prospective retracement in the price of a financial asset, i.e. the kind of support it has whereby the price does ... Grundlage der Fibonacci-Retracements sind, wie der Name es schon beinhaltet, die Fibonacci-Zahlen nach dem Mathematiker Leonardo Fibonacci. Dieser hat eine Zahlenreihe aufgestellt, die sich nach einem bestimmten Muster bildet. Das Erstaunliche an diesen Zahlen ist, dass sie in allen möglichen Bereichen der Wissenschaft, Natur und Wirtschaft auftauchen. What makes things more interesting is the subjective nature with which Fibonacci retracements can be applied. Traders can choose long-term major moves to seek interest levels for a bigger picture strategy or even intraday levels for trade changes. Or, Fibonacci can be applied to short-term charts in the effort to find levels to base short-term themes and setups. This Forex Fibonacci strategy involves opening a trade at the end of the correction. How to plot Fibonacci levels correctly in the chart: Wait for the trend to start. Wait for the start of the first correction, apply the grid. The starting point is the low for an uptrend and high for an uptrend. Follow the correction. It should end before the ... As with learning any new forex strategy, the more resources you can get your hands on the better. Therefore, it’s worth exploring whether a broker offers any Fibonacci forex strategy guidance, be it through PDFs or tutorial videos. YouTube can also be a great way to see the numbers and patterns being applied in real life examples. Fibonacci Retracements are simply ratios used to identify potential reversal levels. The ratios occur in sequence and are often denoted as 61.8%, 38.2%, 50%, and 23.6%. Chartists apply the technical indicator to define retracement levels and forecast the extent of a correction or a pullback. The retracement levels are static levels that don’t change, as is the case with other technical ... Fibonacci Retracements können sehr effizient für den richtigen zeitlichen Einstieg in einem Trend sein. Diese Methode wird oft von Tradern als Teil der Trend-Strategie verwendet. Bei dieser Strategie beobachten die Trader wichtige Preislevels innerhalb eines Trends. Das bedeutet, dass sie kaufen, wenn der Markt gerade steigt und verkaufen wenn er fällt. Trader versuchen Order in dieselbe ... From the Fibonacci Sequence you get a series of ratios, and it is these ratios that are important to forex traders. The most important Fibonacci ratio is 61.8% – referred to as the “golden ratio” or “golden mean” simply because it tends to be the most reliable retracement ratio.; The 61.8% ratio is calculated by dividing any number in the sequence by the number that immediately ... If you had some orders either at the 38.2% or 50.0% levels, you would’ve made some mad pips on that trade. In these two examples, we see that price found some temporary forex support or resistance at Fibonacci retracement levels.. Because of all the people who use the Fibonacci tool, those levels become self-fulfilling support and resistance levels.. If enough market participants believe ...
As per your requests David will take us through a review of Fibonacci Retracements - one of the most common and trusted indicators used by Forex and stock tr... Fibonacci retracement lines are based on the Fibonacci Sequence and are considered a "predictive" technical indicator providing feedback on possible future. ... Forex Trading: Fibonacci Retracement Techniques http://www.financial-spread-betting.com/academy/fibonacci-retracements.html Fibonacci in Forex. PLEASE LIKE A... Trading 212 shows you how to find retracements and identify entry and exit points with Fibonacci numbers.At Trading 212 we provide an execution only service. Th... #forex #forexlifestyle #forextraderWant to join the A1 Trading Team? See trades taken by our top trading analysts, join our live trading chatroom, and access ou... Liked this video? Then check out the Syndicate: https://tradeempowered.com/syndicate-yt http://www.leveragefx.com How to trade Foreign Currencies using Fibonacci Retracements and Fibonacci Profit Targets.